NO MORE PIGEON CHESS IN LENR's FUTURE (ALAIN COETMEUR)

MOTTO

 Merely having an open mind is nothing; the object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.
(Gilbert K. Chesterton)

For me, this solid is - here- LENR+. And I am perhaps not more so solitary thinking this is a step forward from LENR- that is, an interesting certainty must change its nature to become good for applications.

Yesterday, during my Web explorations I came upon a French site of renewable energies and immediately I could read there that "cold fusion is a myth" Some people are not willing to accept a new- and as it happens  a better reality and remain unchanged at  the same old prejudices. Then I renumbered that our friend Alain has written about a good metaphor.
I am constantly learning new words and expressions- it happened that despite my recurrent passion for chess see-http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2012/04/memories-from-chess-club.html  
I had no idea about Pigeon Chess, well present in the American jargon.
Nobody is perfect is good when applied to other people.

Here is Alain's polemic writing,  thanks you much, dear Alain! Let's 
écrasez l'infâme! How can we fight with people having immutable prejudices- we meet them on a very broad, meandering frontline

ALAIN COETMEUR'S CONTRIBUTION

Pigeon Chess

Since few days I had a strange experience, I discovered chess with very good players, a community of very successful pigeon players. Pigeon are known across the planet as the best chess players. It is the consensus among pigeons, and they all agree that humans are bad players. Pigeon newspapers in Italy, in USA, in France, all agree that pigeons have the good strategy.

Most cited (among pigeons) peer-reviewed  refereed journals of chess strategy agree that humans have terrible problem to respect the rules of chess, use overly complicated strategy whose success is not guaranteed, and there is definitive evidence that human brain does not allow to play chess correctly. Humans are all deluded in believing they can win at chess.

Yesterday I have seen desperate human chess players who questioned their underground community, about why humans never succeeded to win any party against pigeons. I know them as very respectful players, knowing not only the rules of chess, but also the strategies, the known pitfalls, and aware of the literature.

They questioned their competence and their historical results, the quality of their respective parties. It is clear that some of their parties were not optimal, and that some player have made mistakes. They were very critical on their own work, questioning their strategies.

This make me interested in looking at their human chess journals, and watch some of their parties. There was some dubious strategies, but some players, and some parties were really looking fantastic.

I analyzed some parties against pigeons, and from the scenario it was clear that the human players before declared losers, were winning. The pigeon before winning was in desperate position, having lost nearly all pieces. I am not expert in chess so I instantly imagined that pigeons had a terribly efficient method to fight back, giving them a huge advantage. After all  when something that seems false is claimed true, it is that you missed a point.

Did the chess played missed a point in chess rules ? Some players did, but most did not.

Some proposed that they organize a great training to play the best parties, to give evidence of their great talent in chess.

Some were sad,  that in 25 years no human succeed in showing a successful party, and desperate that they never see a winning human.

I finally looked at the secret of the superiority of pigeons, seen in 4 articles published in the 90s :

"they knock the pieces over, crap on the board, and fly back to the flock to claim victory."

The situation is clearly the same in cold fusion.

As describes recent Michael McKubre's article to be published in Current Science (India), Cold Fusion consensus is based on few pigeon parties :

http://www.currentscience.ac.in/php/forthcoming/CS-1.pdf

"Occasionally, with decreasing regularity, one hears statements to the effect that ‘Cold fusion has been proven to not exist or to have been based on errors’. Almost always the words ‘long ago’ are appended. Never are  examples of error given at any level of scientific sophistication. If pressed the authority of experts in the fields of nuclear or particle physics are invoked, or early publications of null results by ‘influential laboratories’ – Caltech, MIT, Bell Labs, Harwell. Almost to a man these experts have long ago retired or deceased, and the authors of these early publications of ‘influential laboratories’ have long since left the field and not returned. The issue of ‘long ago’ is important as it establishes a time window in which information was gathered sufficient for some to draw a permanent conclusion – some time between 23 March 1989 and ‘long ago’. Absurdly for a matter of this seeming importance, ‘long ago’ usually dates to the Spring Meeting of the American Physical Society (APS) on 1 May 1989. So the whole matter was reported and then comprehensively dismissed within 40 days (and, presumably, 40 nights). From what we now know is this sensible? Has pertinent new information and understanding developed over 25 years of further study been examined with the wisdom of hindsight? What is the status of these early null results?"

and when you connect to the desperate tentative to teach the pigeon magazine , as reported by Jed Rothwell, you see well the pigeon strategy :

http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJhownaturer.pdf

any positive result is an artifact, a drift of the instrument!

"Lewis may have observed the same level of excess heat that Fleischmann and others did with similar materials and electrochemical conditions. But instead of concluding that he was seeing 14% excess heat, Lewis concluded that the instrument had changed 14%. He did not specify a reason why it might have changed, and he did not perform recalibration tests that would confirm the change and pinpoint the source of the error in the instruments."

The most pathetic is that this "tweaking" was only correcting a marginal result, probably an error, because his calorimetry was not precise enough.

MIT replication team used a similar pigeon tactic, in a less subtle way :

when a curves goes where it should not, bend it!

"A copy of the raw data trace from a pen recorder showed some signs of unexpected heat. The pen recorder data was converted to one-hour round points in the published version. These points were moved down to the zero line, and some were moved to the left and right, suggesting that the change was made manually by a person rather than a computer. This led some people to suspect the data was tampered with. [5, 6] See Ref. 5, pp. 21 - 24. Storms thinks the apparent heat in the original data is not significant. It is only instrument noise. [7] However, it should not have been erased in the published version."

You can find more details on calorimetry comparison in Melvin Miles' presentation done for ICCF17

http://newenergytimes.com/v2/conferences/2012/ICCF17/papers/Miles-Examples-Isoperibolic-Calorimetry-ICCF17-ps.pdf

This paper by Miles and Hagelstein in JCMNS (p138) "New analysis of MIT Calorimetric Errors" like for Lewis, shows that anyway there was no victory possible given the bad calorimetry.

http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/BiberianJPjcondensedg.pdf#page=138

Morrison's tactic is even more pigeon-like than that as he clearly started to dance on the chessboard before the game started:

http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJcoldfusion.pdf#page=4

claim anything , and if people disagree, repeat until they abandon or goes away!

"In rare cases, a few scientists have been guilty of even more unethical behavior. McKubre and other prominent cold fusion scientists have given copies of journal papers to prominent critics, including Douglas Morrison, Robert Park, and John Huizenga. The papers directly contradict assertions made by the critics regarding matters of fact, not opinion, such as the amount of energy produced by cells in continuous bursts, the percent of input versus output, or the amount of chemical energy that a mass 0.5 grams of palladium deuteride will release as it degasses. Morrison often claims the degassing can account for the heat produced during an experiment performed by Fleischmann and Pons. Fleischmann gave him a paper showing conclusively that he is mistaken by a factor of 1,700.  Morrison has been told about this mistake countless times, at conferences, in writing, and in a formal reply published in Physics Letters A. Yet he recently contacted a Nobel laureate and repeated the same misinformation. Fortunately, the Nobel scientist contacted me, and I was able to give him the correct numbers. "

For those interested in verifying the claims, you can read the debate with Morrison and F&P.

http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/Fleischmanreplytothe.pdf

I prefer not to talk of Gary Taubes who is more a cuckoo, hijacking a pigeon strategy to sell books... All is said in Jed's Titanic article and in "Fire From Ice" from Mallove. He used s statisticians tactic : pick the good point if statistic disagree.

Finally the boss of the pigeons himself, Huizenga , cited in that deleted Wikipedia page

http://pages.csam.montclair.edu/~kowalski/cf/293wikipedia.html

gives the Great Pigeon Motto :

"Furthermore, if the claimed excess heat exceeds that possible by other conventional processes (chemical, mechanical, etc.), one must conclude that an error has been made in measuring the excess heat."

I have heard this pigeon motto on most forum, blogs, with any level of education, up to physicist. There is no way to teach the rules of chess to pigeon, they have their own rules.

This impossibility is described by Thomas Kuhn as the "Incommensurability" of paradigms. Pigeon play in a pigeon paradigm, not chess.

Read this Kuhn review: http://www.uky.edu/~eushe2/Pajares/Kuhn.html

To be fair, pigeons are not totally incompetent in Chess, but since any good pigeon player is ridiculed by his peers, only fringe pigeons try to play chess.

Among pigeons you find the very strategic position of the "mindguard" who insults, ridicule, punishes any dissenting traitor.

Roland Benabou describe well that mechanic of consensus by terror as "Mutual Assured Delusion":

http://www.princeton.edu/~rbenabou/papers/Groupthink%20IOM%202012_07_02%20BW.pdf

So what is the solution?

First there is no question of evidence with pigeons.  Playing chess with a pigeon is foolish game. 

The only good reason to play with pigeon is to find humans that are desperate to find good players, or to learn chess, or to watch good chess. Never try to convince the pigeons, nor worry of losing parties against them. Spread the facts, and the facts will talk for you to everybody, else the pigeons.

Play chess, with rigor, with patience, with modesty, but with players who respect the rules of the game, the epistemology of science.

This is not easy as to improve your game you need partners, you need budgets, you need journals and pigeon have money and journals.

Edmund Storms was right in his books and article in explaining his concern that there was not enough peer review, nor much awareness of each-others works.

The tragic evil of pigeons is that they prevent players to improve, to share competences, to go further in the game. Currently, beside some industrial efforts, cold fusion is at the state of a player who could not play more than 25 move before being stopped by the pigeon clowneries.

One tactic to be funded and find journals is to find animals who play other games, based on reality and not consensus, like businessmen, industrialists, dreamers. Greed is often claimed to be a problems, but it is much less than pigeon's pride. The best energy I know is the intimate dream of entrepreneurs and the positive ambition of wounded nations, beyond money and hate.

Finally from all that competence, design an oven, cook few pigeons, make millions with a pigeon restaurant, and the survivors will know that you are superior, when they will see their name on the menu.

Disclaimer: No pigeon was wounded writing that article.

DAILY NEWS AND INFO  

The book recommended by Doug Marker, cheap Kindle edition;

Quantum: Einstein, Bohr and the Great Debate About the Nature of Reality [Kindle Edition]

http://www.amazon.com/dp/B002RI9ZRC?ref_=kcr_store_sample

Bob Greenyer of the MFMP Invited to Moscow by Parkhomov, Feb 26th.

http://www.e-catworld.com/2015/02/12/bob-greenyer-of-mfmp-invited-to-moscow-by-parkhomov-feb-26th/
I hope that besides the many technical problems re reactors and measurement- they will focus on the coming long term test- 32, 64, etc.days

Andrea Rossi Vindicated? Cold Fusion Takes Another Step Towards Credibility

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Andrea-Rossi-Vindicated-Cold-Fusion-Takes-Another-Step-Towards-Credibility.html
We’re at the Tipping Point” (Brian Westenhaus):

http://www.e-catworld.com/2015/02/13/were-at-the-tipping-point-brian-westenhaus/

About Parkhomov in German. It says- "Sensation for Cold Fusion- Russian Professor comnfirms Rossi's Reaction."
Sensation zu »Kalter Fusion«: Russischer Professor bestätigt Rossi-Reaktor
https://marbec14.wordpress.com/2015/02/12/sensation-zu-kalter-fusion-russischer-professor-bestatigt-rossi-reaktor/

About Parkhomov in Vietnamese- it states the Hot Cat produces more energy than it consumes:
http://www.zeronews.us/2015/01/bo-hop-hach-lanh-hot-cat-tao-ra-nang.html


OTHER

LENR-um sum, nihil cataliticum me alienum puto.
LENR and catalysis are so related that this: 
http://www.merriam- webster.com/dictionary/homo%20sum:%20humani%20nil%20a%20me%20alienum%20puto
can be used here as I wrote it.
Step toward rational design of catalysts: Better catalysts, made-to-order
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/02/150212141451.htm