Thursday, September 18, 2014

A CONTRIBUTION TO THE HEAT/HELIUM DISCUSSION



Motto:
“Truth is a river, not a lake.” (n.d. Scottish Proverb)

Recently, vivid discussions regarding the correlation of excess heat to helium formed- take place on the LENR forums.

Generally seen it is a case of Defrostitis – an old theme/subject is taken from the refrigerator of the LENR past, defrosted heated up and discussed as if it was something new. Defrostitis is followed by Disputitis and when everything was said the problem goes back to the refrigerator supported by Dilutitis- it fades gradually away and hibernates till its next resurrection.

Personally seen it has not much reason in it, I am perfectly convinced that the 1991 paper of Melvin Miles is an unassailable proof that this correlation exist- it was confirmed by other LENR researchers- fast memory shows me first Mike McKubre and Russ George. This correlation- as such- is for me an axiomatic truth. What does it really reveal, what is its significance for the development of our field and how can this truth be used efficiently for convincing newcomers or honest investigators about the truth of cold  fusion/LENR- all these make up a different, complex story.

Introducing the concept of unsolving problems.

Beyond Defrostitis –as a professional problem solver I am remarking an other side of this discussion- “unsolving problems” In the past a solution was found  for a problem, then the solution is re-converted in a problem again- this was done with heat/he now. It is not a perfect solution, it is not an easily actionable solution, but it is NOT a problem.

Actually the problem is solved as my discussion partner Abs shows it so well and other colleagues help him.

Unfortunately a solution is accepted- outside the circle of experimenters who are creating it-- NOT based on scientific
criteria. I was amazed to discover that this “ unsolving the problems” is something so viral and important that you can find it in the lyrics of a song belonging to rock music a very recent one-see please                 
http://sweetempire.bandcamp.com/track/unsolving-problems-in-the-animal-kingdom-2
It is about unsolving problems at the level of our species.

I have stated many times that the lyrics of non-classic music are mysteriously very highly placed on the DIKW scale- sometimes. It is much wisdom in this text- I am speaking quite seriously. I will ask these Sweet Empire guys (probably via my young friend Dr. Bob) to write a song about the World Wide Epidemics of Probletence. I also have noted that any time I am trying to invent a new concept or new name, immediately I will find a rock band already owning that name.

Back to the heat/helium problem.

Heat/helium is truth but not of the kind you can convert in a meme that everybody accepts. There are more reasons for it and I will try to show you these- you will not like my arguments- I also don’t like them at all but they are stronger than me.

Heat/Helium is not exactly the kind of truth people want

An Italian skeptic let’s call him Guido whom I met at ICCF-2 Como (where I also met Fleischmann, Pons, Miles< Gerrischer
Morrison and other important CF people)- Guido was a believer then. Now he has written about what he would consider a convincing Heat/Helium experiment:

He advises me:

a) to read again with activated critical thinking- this 

b) to accept as a reasonable condition that at the end of a successful experiment the concentration of helium has to be at least 10 times greater inside the cell than outside

c) Says- make 10 tests within +/- 20% difference of He final content.

It can be easily seen that he wants actually not a heat/Helium correlation but intense and reproducible heat.
If LENR has a technological future, then Guido is right. Heat/Helium is scientifically fine, but how relevant it is?

Heat Helium is not a simple experiment.

The point b) in Guido’s requirements is kind of a trap, actually in the Miles’ successful experiments the concentration of Helium inside the Cell is ~ 10 ppb, while in the air outside the cell it is the natural 5,240ppb, much greater. A non-motivated newcomer will not accept this beyond all proofs. The public
always believes much easier a simple lie than a complex truth.
It is highly unfair in this case, even not smart at all but difficult to change. See the text of the song above.

LENR truth is now so strongly associated with LENR value that it’s not 
more accepted separately.
This was demonstrated in my essay of yesterday at the end with these words: You do not need to be a prophet when it is about LENR, it will be accepted by science and public only when it will demonstrate both its TRUTH (Science) and itsVALUE (as practical source of energy) - this was the original promise and people have good memory.”  It is about LENR in toto but it is true especially for this seminal Heat/Helium Truth.

However a fifth condition also exists for the truths- the non-religious truths to be accepted:

Static stagnant truths have low chances to be accepted.

It is nothing special in this, I had the intuition of the dynamicity of the world in an incipient stage of my education when I started to collect wise quotations and to write some- probably less wise, one of them that I have not forgotten was:
“The existence is inexistence in movement” an idea pre-existent in many ancient philosophies. Movement, dynamics in both science and in technology is vectorial- and the name of its direction is progress. Tomorrow it has to be more, better, cheaper, safer than today.

says if something is not progressing it decays- in the world of technology there is never just stagnation. Think about Moore’s Law, about your PCs, mobile phones but also about your first car and your newest one and about all the products of technology you are using.
By extension and by psychological transmission, by the research culture a significant truth must also be dynamic and progressive.
Heat/helium seems to be a rather static truth – were its further confirmations been more impressive, more complete or more understandable good for theories- than Miles’ masterwork of 1991?
Can we imagine a better experiment now?

LENR will be dynamic or not at all (it is not by Malraux)

 

ADDENDA

 

Re my pessimistic paper of yesterday- I have received some moral support – this paper:

 

 The Upside of Pessimism

The theory of defensive pessimism suggests that imagining—and planning for—worst-case scenarios can be more effective than trying to think positively.
It is not so counter productive to be a pessimist, isn’t it?
It also confirms my negativist approach to problem solving.

Now when I am finishing this essay- it is 03: 45 at Glasgow and the results of the referendum are not known. It depends if the Scotch will listen to their heads or their hearts- says a wise journalist on Google News. I think he uses one euphemism.

Rossi’s Blog dominated by the theoretician Wladimir Guglinski for the moment- nothing about the Report.

E-Cat World of Frank Acland – some positive rumor not very reliable- COP over 10. It can be true.

The day of Sept. 18, 2014 is still not over in many regions of Terra.


Peter

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

LENR AND THE TROUBLES WITH THE 21st CENTURY

.

In matters of PREDICTION- the Everest of the DIKW scale, only one thing is worse than the Cassandra Syndrome (you make perfect predictions but nobody believes you) – the Malraux Syndrome (you predict very improbable, even impossible very dangerous things and they become reality).
Andre Malraux has told (or is this an urban legend?):
 The 21st century will be religious or it will not be at all”

He declared (or not, but this not more relevant) this in a time of relative reason when human intelligence seemed to follow Flynn’s Law slowly but constantly increasing... A terrible prediction- now, some 45 years later “the spectre of fundamentalism seizes the world” And there are more forms of fundamentalism of all colors and shades – what is common in all is that they are entwined with political extremisms and all preach death of the infidels or of those thinking differently.
“Who is not with us, is against us; and who is against us, has no right to live” “we own the Unique Truth and who denies it MUST die!”- simple, direct, deeply felt, righteous slogans calling to action. This was your idea, mon cher Andre?

But I have to shut up- I am not an iota better. See my Septoe:
The 21st Century is the 12th, resurrected”
is this the cause that today we have a caliphate?
It was ignored as a few similar sad ones as:

Intolerance kills people, tolerance destroys the Society. (Being honest, I will not deny that I liked the idea of multiculturalism as so many other pathologically naïve people. Never, and inclusive in LENR –never forget that: Things are NOT what they seem!

Dumbing down people is the greatest megabusiness.

People will believe anything except the truth. (See the Heat/Helium discussion)

Schooling helps grown-up, while media forces grown-down.

Kleptocracy is the most natural form of government. (or is it theocracy?)
The world economy- a myriapode with Achilles Heels

Why all these 7 word predictions-in-part which all are now more than real, hadn’t had not the slightest echo? Probably because:
“In my life, obstacle was usually a verb”

Clearly I have no success- after the downvoting by peers of my essay http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2015 yesterday again my perfectly idealistic, vitally necessary and completely impossible science, Scipiology (search on the web and you will find it) has missed to receive the IgNobel Prize it deserves more than anything else in this word,, nothing is more improbable than Scipiology  http://www.improbable.com/ig/2014/
. I protested furiously, I understand meritocracy is not healthy but why should we kill it completely?

As you well know, I am dialoging with the Internet. Perhaps the reason of my very bad mood now is that the very first news- local for Cluj-  I read this morning was that at a soccer championship here for children 9 years old a terrible violent incident , general fighting erupted and one parent was almost killed due to concussion of the brain. It is symptomatic that my writer friend Valeriu Butulescu has said:
today I am not more scared night-time in the cemetery, I am scared daytime on the football arena!”
And who has taken seriously the warning of Goddess Athena who told me clearly that the gods of violence, greed and stupidity will conquer and rule the entire world if we will not stop them, less than 20 people have read my interview: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2011/01/stop-koalemos.html

It is dreadful that so many bad predictions have shaped our present and future based on the Malraux syndrome.

We have seen enough I think about how dangerous a job can Prediction be- good prediction is so high on the DIKWP scale that only gods a few humans have access to it. How should we dare to make predictions for our LENR?  I am sure Cassandra is much more at home there than Malraux.
One prediction appeared here at noon:

“Which organization(s) will publish the first paper describing a net energy positive Low Energy Nuclear Reaction (also known as cold fusion) device or process in a journal indexed on Thomson Reuters Web of Science?”

The author and the readers are smart- so no direct answer can be detected.

I cannot abstain from making a LENR prediction. You well remember (if you are my age) that at the discovery of cold fusion the Law of Accumulation of Events has been active, The first day after the Fleischmann Pons announcement the Exxon Valdez catastrophic oil spill has happened.
Tomorrow we will receive the first relevant information regarding the Rossi Report simultaneously with Scotland’s vote for independence.
It will be a terrible political catastrophe – not “per se” but creating a frightening bad example  and symbol– tens of European groups ethnical, and religious and even political or cultural will start fight for useless independence and the European Union will be in deadly danger. I am a recidivist in making prophecies.

You do not need to be a prophet when it is about LENR, it will be accepted  by science and public only when it will demonstrate both its TRUTH (b Science) and its VALUE (as practical source of energy)- this was the original promise and people have good memory.
Exactly as predicting, making promises is a risky job.


Peter 

Monday, September 15, 2014

ARISTOTELES, TWO TIMES.



Writing LENR miniatures is habit-forming it seems, this will be number 8. This morning my Muse has kissed me on my forefront, not problem for her, the surface is almost 1sq.m and now I am writing about two gentlemen called Aristoteles.
What they have in common is that I have learned very important thing from them and now I want to share these with
you. One of them says things I forgot to tell you when I wrote about experts.

The first Aristoteles was an ancient Greek philosopher the first true thinker, scientists, logician, researcher, theoretician, educator, pragmatist, worldwide and life long learner. A man who lived a few thousand years before his age. He had the intuition of natural laws; he understood that it is some natural order in the world. Admirably open-minded – his post mortem tragedy was described here:
“(If you can bear to hear) the truth you’ve spoken
Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,” (Kipling, “If”)

Poor Aristoteles’ lively ideas were dreadfully dogmatized and used to punish heretics by the Church; you know well which one especially... He could do nothing to change this, being dead for more than 1000 years then.
This is a serious warning to my future colleagues who will change the paradigm of LENR please keep the New Paradigm fresh, open, plastic, future oriented, undogmatizable.

The second Aristoteles, also Greek a businessman of genius. Actually I am not especially fond of him due to the bad things he has made to the soprano goddess Maria Callas but Onassis was remarkable- it is great loss that he did not became  a scientist or an inventor and has wasted his exceptional  talents as magnate.

This is one of the brightest things Onassis could have told:
“The secret of LENR is to know something that nobody else knows.” And also:

I am using “LENR” but  many of our colleagues would use “science”- Onassis himself spoke about “business” but his sayings here are universally true and they seem made for LENR

Very few LENRists will agree with the first quote: we have lots of common knowledge but we will solve our existential problems by what an X knows now and nobody else. I bet.

The second quote is well known and applied on large scale many battles of opinions, ideas and theories.

While waiting for the saviors with unique knowledge may I call your attention to an aspect of the expert I forgot to mention in http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2014/09/the-true-lenr-experts.html

I have read it in the “You and your job” column of “Chemical Engineering” thirty and something years ago.
“People will accept the status of true expert only for a few categories of people who have the following in common:
a)      they know something you don’t, they have decisively superior knowledge;
b)      you go to them only in case of extreme necessity, you depend on them,
c)       they establish how much you will pay them for their services and you surely will pay!
Real experts are the dentist you will visit when you can no more bear the pain; the surgeon who will fix your broken leg, the lawyer- your son has caused a car accident and the jail is waiting for him. Just of few trivial cases of genuine experts.
There are no such experts in LENR, any amateur who can write and has an Internet connection can tell anything on a non-moderated forum.
There is no more respect or decency. I just was informed that one of my most shameless blogtrolls, Anonymous is a 13 years old school girl from Sweden, crazy like hell. She was expelled from all schools due to her pathological passion (shared only with the tsar Ivan the Terrible) to throw out cats on the windows of high buildings. I am old, I was never called
liar or scammer, little psychopath Bjorg does it on a daily basis.

I also have learned from Chemical Engineering:
”Beyond history, geography and education and culture, everywhere and for ever there are 3 categories of people: Nice, Difficult and Wimps. It is a pleasure to discuss with nice people; with the difficult ones a dialogue is possible but needs some effort; it is outright stupidity even to try to speak with the wimps.”
Not much psychology here, direct contradiction to what you will learn in the school of management- but this is the reality.
If you dare to not agree with this, we can discuss but take note that I belong to the difficult people. Or, I hope so.

Peter




Sunday, September 14, 2014

WHY I MUST WRITE A BOOK ABOUT UEHMDI?



UEHMDI does not appear even in the greatest acronym searcher but it will be there in 2016. UEHMDI is ‘USEFUL ENERGY FROM HYDROGEN –METAL DEEP INTERACTION” the title of a book I have started to compose. I know for sure that at the gate of the LENR Heaven it is a saint bureaucrat (not my name-sake!) who decides about your admission there and his first question is: “How many books about cold fusion have you published?”
This can be one of the reasons that recently, Ed Storms, Jean Paul Biberian and Mats Lewan have published LENR (or LENR+) related books- and I know that other of our best men have almost finished their books. LENR Heaven is connected to Internet plus has some very good labs. Theoreticians with few exceptions have to go first in the LENR Purgatory. To make this complete- the gate of LENR Hell is wide open and due to the imperishable prestige of Dante Alighieri, the inscription is in Italian:
“Lasciate ogni speranze voi che LENRate con aqua pesante e palladio! ”

I have created the expression “obstacled way” as an antonym of “shortcut” in part for describing my biography and explaining why I have not published a single book in the first 76 years of my life.
Take note- I am not complaining, not carping about bad luck just explaining.
When I was 14 years I actually wrote a book it was about the adventures of my alter ego named Raul Fibiego – in English it would be Phybiego) an interdisciplinary scientist – Physics- Biology – Egology (psychology of the individual) in the world of the insects.
Fibiego and his lover Nildy (Swanilda see Leo Delibes’ballet Coppelia) invent a method to turn themselves to very small dimensions, linearly decreasing 100 to 1000 times and so they can study Nature quite directly. A great part of the book was about Fibiego and his fiancée inside the anthill- this is one of the reasons that I was able to give AXIL a documented answer in: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2014/09/about-ants-and-lenr.html
Now my grandson Rudolf is interested in myrmecology.
The book was also very romantic; Fibiego was a supporter of monogamy-seen as a superior ability to make good choices.

Unfortunately this book got lost I have moved 9 times in my life and could not carry much stuff with me.

My PhD thesis about the technology of suspension polyvinylchloride- morphology-processability correlations- is like a book, has 524 references, is in the library of the Jassy University but is in part obsolete. From 1982 the progress of the PVC technology was incremental and the main problem in principle – converting polymerization from batch in a continuous one has NO solution. From the 4 criteria defining the technology: productivity, quality, cost and ecology- quality is the determinant one and a distribution of reaction times destroys uniformity of polymer particle to particle quality. (I have remarked that Randy Mills has a somewhat similar discontinuous-converted-to-continuous wicked problem.

An other insoluble problem was my son’s health- I had to earn all time extra money for his treatments – mainly with translations and consultancy, no time and motivation for writing books.

For Cold Fusion and LENR there are a lot of excellent books by people who are writing better than me.
I will ignore the books that try to kill CF, written by dogmatists or sadists.
The other books describe the facts but the predictions made- if they are there- are not confirmed by the reality. Still not confirmed.
Books cannot be better than reality so even the best ones:

a) are emphasizing too much the role and power of the big bad cruel unjust and uninformed skeptics especially those who can decide about funding, publishing and patenting and, in the same time do not take in consideration the severe birth defects of cold fusion;

b) are mainly descriptive – but not explanatory or integrative;
Ed Storms’ new book is an exception, it aims to EXPLAIN LENR and presents a new, original theory. My problem with this theory is that I think very differently about how LENR and Mother Nature work.

I have learned something important from Ed Storms:
when ignorant or “not-with-the sharpest-tool-in- the- box” people (as Mary Yugo said I am) are unable to understand your ideas from papers or presentations, the best thing is to write a book. Probably books are creating a better vision and are believed to be higher on the DIKW scale. It will be much easier to make a Synthesis in the frame of a book.

I have to write my book for the sake of a much better and convincing taxonomy and understanding, convincing the readers that:
-        LENR is only a provisional name, the useful form of the deep interaction of hydrogen with transition metals is a group of phenomena very different from what we think now about PdD generated LENR,
-        The initially discovered form of LENR is not adequate for scientific study in depth nor for technological development;
-        The presence of alien gases (not hydrogen) poisons the active sites and kills or stifles the process of generating excess heat; deep degassing is vital,
-        The problems of LENR can be solved only by radical changes of both hydrogen and metal interacting and this is
    possible only by cooperation of science and technology,
-        In the case of LENR theory has no singular – it is about a
multistage process and each stage needs a theory;
    -    Only technologies, working commercial technologies can,
          save, resurrect, and make prosperous LENR;  
-        Plus many other ideas I have presented in almost 50 
papers this year, all about a vitally necessary but painful paradigm shift... My ideas are difficult to accept even for
me and I am telling always only what I sincerely think. Therefore those who are attacking me because I think differently than them about DGT or Rossi make a big error- my stupidity is a possible explanation but I am honest. To err is human to lie is a dirty thing. The UEHMDI book will be absolutely sincere.

Will it have success; will it convince people including my friends?

I have no idea; my blog papers have moderate success. If I ask the Internet I find this paper published today:

Will you write a great business book? http://writingabookwithwally.com/writing-a-book/will-you-write-a-great-business-book#sthash.8KeqOsbh.dpuf


It is by Wally Bock, one of my favorite gurus in matter of leadership. He speaks about business books here- my book will be addressed to the LENR leaders of the future. Wally asks three fundamental questions:

 

Do you have a passion for the topic?

Yes I have a passion that survived many cycles of great expectations-deep disappointment and is still intense and warming my soul.

 

How will you add value to what’s already out there?

I will try both to add to what is here and to subtract and discard what I think it is not good for the future.

How do you know that people will buy your book?

It is OK, I am sure -open minded good people trying to convert LENR in a fine source of energy- all these people will buy my book. I need only 500,000 $ to buy a villa for my family. Money in excess of this will go to graduate students wiling to master and do PhDs in LENR- worldwide.

Peter


 

Saturday, September 13, 2014

WHAT IF LENR GETS BIG MONEY?



The Internet is a treasure. It is also a bazaar, a madhouse, a bordello, a Borgesian library, alternate reality, a kitschery and many other things but I have learned how to take the best of it- the genuine pearls and not the dirt.
The Internet helps me marvelously to apply Carpe diem (seize the day!) in practice. Yesterday was day No. 28081 of my life but I am much more focused on the remaining relatively very few days I want to enjoy the infinite interestingness of the existence – including the hyper-tortuosity of the evolution of LENR. The Internet helps:
yesterday for the subject “Problem Solving” Google has informed me - between other papers, about this one: “People Who Can Control Their Dreams Are Also Better at Real Life”                                          

Lucid dreamers are good problem solvers- the paper shows it.
I have complained here more times, and I am ashamed for it, about the nightmares I have due the side effects of the anti-hypertensive drugs I am taking regularly. I have decided to control my dreams, yes; it will be about the most positive event possible.

Take in account that I light-years from being perfect but I am not selfish the dream was good especially for friends.
It was a very wishful dream, my much regretted friend Akira Kawasaki  
has appeared in my dream. He was young and optimistic again as when we have tried together to get funding from the Soros Open Society for Cold Fusion. It happens that then I have worked at Dynamic Network technologies, a Soros daughter company then, as Web searcher. It is a long story with an unhappy end – we have not received a single cent but I have learned that capitalistic bureaucracy is as impenetrable as the communist one.

Akira said in my dream:
“Peter, good news- LENR gets Big Money a bit over 32 billion US $. The donor is a billionaire who has read Ed Storms’ new book and was deeply impressed. This is good news! The bad news is that the rich guy also reads your Blog and likes your elucubrations; he decided you will administer and distribute the money, yours is the final decision in each case. So take care and decide wisely! I cannot stay more with you!”

My medicines are powerful – even in the best dream I get in very bad trouble and I must solve the most difficult problems.
I have to answer even after awakening; can you help me my dear Blogfriends?

Dream or not dream, big money real or not, we have a problem that has to be discussed SERIOUSLY! The way of money is here the way of LENR strategy.

Now it is 10 a.m. here I am lucid, my instant coffee was fine- I am starting to think- you already know my personal methodology:

Whom I will NOT give money?

1-to any team that does not speak explicitly about very deep degassing of the working surfaces- active sites, N.A.E.;
2- to any metrologicomanical team that intends to spend money for ultra-sensitive calorimeters  
3- to any team with regressive vision that want to repeat in more rigorous conditions old experiments with no relevance for enhancing heat release;
4- institutions, teams and companies that will deny the Hippocratic oath by all members to fight with high priority against irreproducibility and to declare the R-problem INTOLERABLE;
5- any project or program with one of these words; new, alternative, progressive, technology-not figuring in the title.
6- No theory describing LENR as a single stage process will
receive a cent!

Whom I will give LENR money.

I think, first some ethical-pragmatic principles have to be applied to select those who deserve the money.
Give it to the discontented- the true human nature is Homo diacontentus! Help the progressive! Prefer the true problem solvers over the power seekers!

A great inventor speaks for those discontented ones:

Restlessness is discontent and discontent is the first necessity of progress. Show me a thoroughly satisfied man and I will show you a failure. (Thomas A. Edison

It happened that this morning I received a cold fusion theory paper by an author whom I didn’t knew, See his coordinates and the abstract of his paper here. He understands the problem; yes we have to rethink LENR- that’s 120% obvious!
The solution offered by Dan Szumski is very high level theory and needs study- just now because I am writing this paper with emotional involvement-I consider the potential over-abundant funding as important- I cannot study the Szumsky paper. See it please:

Rethinking Cold Fusion Physics: An Essay
 Daniel S Szumski
Independent Scholar, USA, Danszumski@sbcglobal.net

Cold fusion theory is at a critical juncture. Technological development of commercially viable units has outstripped theoretical understanding. It now appears that commercialization will proceed without patent protection, thereby slowing our energy revolution in its finest
moment. And as you know, patent protection is being denied simply because we cannot tell the US Patent Office or the PTO how our cold fusion devices work.
What do we do?

Theories deserve money especially new ones; please go and study the website and the theory. However we will surely use meta-theories, more ones in symbiotic interaction.

Rethinking has to be combined with radical remaking, the projects based on approaches changing essentially the nature
of both hydrogen and metal, in conditions that create the state of enhanced heat release- have absolute priority. I don’t want to waste any money- this is a sacrilege, I am focusing on the correct things.
Therefore, I know that my action will create huge competition for Rossi and Defkalion, tens of teams and companies trying to work out commercial technologies.

I have a special reason to stop here- my friend Ludwik Kowalski, scientist end writer http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwik_Kowalski
is just performing a survey about how the best LENR people
see the way out and forward for our field. Ludwik has agreed that I could use the data in the second part of Big Money for LENR paper.

Money for the scientific press and LENR libraries.

A lot of money will go, unconditionally to ‘Infinite Energy” and “Cold Fusion Now”. I am grateful for life to Gene Mallove and now to Christy Frazier too. I admire much Ruby Carat who has accomplished a symbiosis of science and art. I will be very generous with “Cold Fusion Times” – however first I will ask that Ed Storms, Jed Rothwell and me should become members of the editorial board for the sake of peace and harmony in LENRland.
http://lenr-canr.org and Journal lead by Jean Paul Biberian will be compensated for all the expenses from the past and from the next 20 years. ISCMNS will become so rich that it will lose the status of non-profit organization for a short time.
Could I forget the Greek Journal: “Cutting Gordian Knots?” or Dieter Britz the cold fusion agnostic who offered us such a great bibliography? Italian, Japanese, Russian, Chinese. Indian, Chinese etc. LENR journals should also apply!
(if I have forgotten somebody, I ask her/him to accept my apologies, I make gaffes)

I will try to use the money also for bringing back New Energy Times and my former good friend Steve Krivit to our Family; I think that his passion for the Widom Larsen theory (if this is still its name?)  was not sustained by great achievements and if it happens the Rossi report will be positive and really independent with certainty- he will be devastated- but he is a formidable journalist.

A few billion US$ will go to a LENR REPUTATION MANNAGEMENT FUND, I will hire the greatest specialists in persuasion to improve the public image of LENR- in case the commercial generators everywhere will not suffice                                                    A bit of healthy corruption does not harm much, I will cover all the expenses for publishing my book “USEFUL ENERGY FROM HYDROGEN –METAL DEEP INTERACTION” from this big money..

In my next dream I will make the financial calculations (my parents were accountants so I know the basics) - but please help me with suggestions. 

Thank you!

Peter



Friday, September 12, 2014

THE TRUE LENR EXPERTS



Best Motto
What is an expert? I read somewhere, that the more a man knows, the more he knows, he doesn’t know. So I suppose one definition of an expert would be someone who doesn’t admit out loud that he knows enough about a subject to know he doesn’t really know how much.” (Malcolm S. Forbes)

Second best Motto

Third best Motto
An expert is someone who has succeeded in making decisions and judgments simpler through knowing what to pay attention to and what to ignore. (Edward de Bono)

‘Expert’ is a very rich subject – also connected to the DIKW scale- it is so natural to think that the expert is the Insight Worker- usually coming from outside and from far... We will start to define the LENR expert. Andrea Rossi has said more times the LENR experts, the genuine ones, are different people than we usually think they are. He is a recognized expert in non-information and has not said who those real experts are.

Following my own negativity based methods; I would try to determine first who those experts are NOT. See the first Motto and translate in a simpler language- experts are those people who know how much they don’t know about a subject. This is vital knowledge due to the cruelest problem solving rule: 5. .NOT what we know, but what we don’t know is more important for solving the problem.
This means that there are not experts who are emphasizing continually how much they know. It is not easy to see what and how much they actually understand of what they know. In principle it is possible they know everything and understand nothing.

Who in our field has the expert vision- both holographic and holistic? I think almost nobody because the densities of the unknown unknowns, of the temporarily unknowable unknowns, of the falsely known unknowns – in LENR -are all unusually high.
We desperately need people with the expert’s mindset even if expertise will flourish only later when many obstacles will be gone. A short description about how true experts are is here:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/kathycaprino/2014/05/19/are-you-dealing-with-a-real-expert-or-a-fake-7-ways-to-tell/ and this says a lot of true things- but according to my expertise in management- not all:

1. Real experts focus on their field, not themselves.

2. Real experts have no trouble saying:  “I don’t know.”

3. Real experts demonstrate intellectual honesty.

4. Real experts show intellectual curiosity.

5. Real experts know when and how to share.

6. Real experts know when and how to improvise.

7. . . . Real experts cannot help but teach.

LENR needs experts and they will come., the experts in the new LENR.

I don’t believe in angels but I believe in real experts and this because I have met them in my professional life. I know it is an increasing trend to negate the role and power of experts. This is a branch of anti-intellectualism a very unjust one,  a result of the fight of the amateurs for equality, in expressing opinions, a pathological side effect of misunderstood democracy that generated  concepts as “wisdom of crowds”. Add to this the “gaffes” of experts in some systems overly complex, completely unpredictable, and tragically unmanageable as economics and crises- see what says the author of the “Black Swan” presented here by Alain Coetmeur: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2013/09/nassim-nicholas-taleb-and-cold-fusion_5.html about experts.

What I know, is this: a technology is an expertocracy or it doesn’t exist. No exception for LENR.

PLEASE CONSIDER THIS WRITING ABOUT LENR EXPERTS JUST A GATE OPEN FOR CONSTRUCTIVE DISCUSSIONS!

 

Peter

 



Thursday, September 11, 2014

ROSSI’S GREAT REPORT- ON THE DIKW SCALE



This writing appears with one day delay due to the ants’ wisdom idea of AXIL – an important message for the LENR community-I had to publish with no delay.

It is stimulating to me that this morning has appeared a note: “International Academic Report on Cold Fusion Imminent” on Frank Acland’s E-Cat World. Author anonymous but the info is professionally written.

Intelligence is best defined as “the ability to not confound the points of view” however especially in research projects, it is also the ability to “process lower quality information- partial incomplete, partial redundant, contradictory, in part outright false, imaginary, cryptic, neutral or senseless all these mixed in unpredictable and incognoscible ways and proportions.” A bit long but real and made for the case of Rossi, you need much intelligence to follow him…

Rossi’s communication methods are, at least in part, justified, I feel empathy for him. The first short-time Report of 2013- a quite decent and serious work was dismissed not for its intrinsic imperfections but because Rossi could interfere
with the research so the Report was not quite independent.
I have disagreed e.g. in:
but with no success. The LENR community has also uncritically accepted without analysis the Luca Gamberale Report that tries to discredit a very good demo by
DGT, logically consistent. The Gamberale Report refers only to tests made by he author in unusual conditions.

“LENR community” is not a real entity but its collective spirit does not accept easily that its own existential and developmental problems could be solved by outsiders. And Rossi had all the time a non-ideal behavior that has aggravated the situation...

 “Independent” means now a study executed at least 12,000 miles distance from the inventor, with all communication lines interrupted. Ergo, Rossi is practically forced to tell us that he has no idea about the results and will get the Report 3 days before it is published. He says repeatedly “cuculo” style that the report will be positive or negative, he cannot predict how. Actually it is obvious the Report will be both positive and negative- in a frame of expectations.
It is excluded it will be absolutely negative- total absence of excess heat measured each 5 seconds for >2000 hours. (pure masochism!) It will be not absolutely positive either- plenty of excess heat with no input energy i.e. COP infinite and heat level adjustable at will. (triumph at the 3rd power) Without a definition, positive or negative do not mean much, more exactly- nothing at all. I don’t know what is the hydrogen pressure in the HotCat but beyond any doubt it is very high mediatic pressure on Rossi to make the Report absolutely independent- something as impossible as useless.
Rossi, on his angelic side is extrovert and enjoys communicating
seeks the friendship of people, therefore he cannot work in isolation with no feedback and encouragement.
.
In a DIKW evaluation of this unknown Report, we must abuse of the interrogative approach- asking a lot of temporary unanswerable questions.

The first question: where will this Report be published? Even those who believe in miracles – it will probably NOT Nature (impact factor (21,323) or Science (impact factor 12,465) this would be the performance equivalent of climbing the Everest barefoot with nitrogen put in your oxygen bottles by enemies. My preference was the International Journal of hydrogen Energy (impact factor 2930) but the Professors have not consulted me. I am unable to guess the journal in which the Report will be published.

DATA
The heat release is intense, the Hot Cat is much bigger than an electrolytic LENR cell- plenty of data will be gathered.
The input-output balance for more months will allow us to “feel” the stability of the process…it will be a huge volume of INFORMATION. How well presented- it depends on the independent team.

KNOWLEDGE- Rossi says the Professors can publish what they wish and I really want this to be true. What will they give  
KNOW NOTHING- the skeptics try to convince us that nothing relevant will be given, just a heap of unanalysable data. How this will be done – I let them to say.

KNOW WHAT- will be the excess heat demonstrated beyond any doubt, great and long term? At the end of the test, the Hot Cat was very tired, moribund or still having 8 of its 9 cat lives?
Will the COP increase and stabilize after the start period, will it be decently high- say well over 6- and constant or adjustable?  Was the system in danger of runaway or of collapse? Was it stopped and restarted? Unexpected events? I am very curious-what has happened?

KNOW HOW- it is easy to understand that Andrea Rossi does not want to tell to the real and imaginary competition how the Hot Cat does work. In the same time he is aware that this time only by telling which reactions give the heat- he will be recognized as a great inventor and elite researcher. The essence is the chemical composition of the active core before and after the long reaction time. Composition is only a small part of what makes the system functional- the HotCat is not the useful cat- but Rossi plus the team of professors have a problem here, scientific and kind of diplomatic.

WISDOM Rossi has alluded many times he will present his Theory simultaneously with the Report. He has a great opportunity to demonstrate his wisdom. Will he do it, or not I don’t know. But this theory will change everything we knew about LENR. LENR+ is not like LENR, actually it is not genuine LENR, but a bunch of other processes.

Dear Reader- I have tried very hard to think logically here and I think I have succeeded in part. However logic as it is stated in:
“Logical thinking is that safe and beaten path on which you can go from one swamp to an other” (Karoly Simonyi)
Here the premises from which logic leads to conclusions are now quite swam-like. How they will be after the publication of the Report?
Just to mention that the author of the quote has written a book
about the cultural history of Physics, one of my models for my coming book
“Useful Energy from Hydrogen-Metal Deep Interaction”- Deeper than electrons.


Peter