This is an other easy lecture for Sunday or any
other day- a sad but instructive story.
I am a good, disciplined customer of the
industry that makes billions from milligrams. My hypertension, put in evidence
17 years ago is not curable and I will never be healthy again, however I am
dependent on some medicines (Enalapril and Tertensiv) and I must take them
daily otherwise I feel bad, hear strange noises and become anxious. So far so good,
however the medicines have a side effect – generate nightmares. Some of them
are really frightening and I get in situations and am confronted with such
problems that the unique solution is to wake up early, drink my unique daily
coffee and start reading my gmail messages. Most nightmares are about travel
and paying the bill at the hotel. I have read a lot of serious literature about
the interpretation of dreams including Jung’s famous book, but this helps not
much. Quite usually the nightmares are connected to recent events or ideas
discussed. This is the case with my strange dream of Sept 6/7.
As you already know my hobby is opera music, a
great platonic love story. See please
but don’t read, it is too long, this: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2011/03/explaining-opera-music-of-all-noises.html
and please read with empathy this: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2013/03/lenr-is-not-asong-it-is-opera-advent-of.html
because it tells a lot of true things and asks some interesting
questions (BTW, never replied)
At Timisoara Timisoara Romania Vienna
He is a genius, had a lot of successes and even triumphs-
and I became quite envious- why he is an opera director and I am not? I also
love opera, just because he is talented and I am not, this is the reason?
My God, if meritocracy will rule the world, what will happen
to people like me? I am joking, however in this nightmare I became suddenly the full power director of a
N-Metropolitan opera (I don’t remember if N was from “nano” or Nuclear?”)
I want to tell you
that once we have visited the real Metopera in 2000 due to the generosity of
our friend Mike Carrell.
Met Performance]
CID:333003
Samson et Dalila {194} Metropolitan Opera House:
Samson et Dalila {194} Metropolitan Opera House:
September
26, 2000Samson.....................Plácido DomingoDalila.....................Denyce Graves
It was great; however my wife was already preparing her
coming pulmonary embolism and had great pains.
The
DREAM
I
am the director, I will decide for everything. We will start with Aida and there
will be lots of people making beautiful noises.
Surprise!
The Sponsor of the Opera called me and told that who gives the money makes the
rules and takes the great decisions: ”My son, your mission now is to make this
tenor ,
Marco Diecibelli a famous singer. He is a student of Gigli and
the fiancé of my wife’s cousin- make him great, Pete, this is your priority. I
am a nice man but if you do not succeed perfectly, addio opera! Hai capito,
signore?
He
was open and clear and I got his message, if it is a problem I will solve it- I
know this well even in deep sleep.
I
met the young tenor, good looking, and athletic, nice boy, just a bit fat. But
he will be a perfect Radames, I thought and my dream was quite pleasant for a short
while. But then Marco has started to sing—horror, a small barely audible whispering
voice, and much interruption- he was speaking normally but stuttering when he
sang, an unique misery! This will be a catastrophe even after two stages of
radical improvement- I had a shock!
Marco
confessed he was Gigli’s student just for one day, however his great ambition
is to be a really great tenor. “It
is my life’s dream!” Trouble, the sponsor was absolutely adamant but said “I
pay what you will, just help Marco!” A professional problem solver is efficient
when he dreams too. I called a specialist who has designed a fine audio aid,
amplifier plus silence filter, many of these were manufactured and distributed freely
to the public combined with some chocolate bonbons.
Marco’s
first aria sounded quite so- with this excellent audio aid:
Fans
of Marco have appeared soon- the aid was really good.
The
sponsor was grateful and generous, I bought a flat. I was the guest of honor at Marco’s wedding
with the Sponsor’s wife’s cousin- a girl resembling Olive Oyl.
And
I have enjoyed my job of Opera director till the alarm clock rang in the
morning.
But
now I feel guilty of cheating and if this dream will be repeated, I will leave
the job and I will not save a whispering and stuttering tenor for any money!
Honesty and professionalism are more important than making something impossible
to seem possible.
This
was the story, realistic but not subtle; now some comments.
Two quotations without
attribution from some recent messages re the limited enthusiasm of the world in
accepting cold fusion/LENR plus my thoughts.
Pons and Fleischmann were geniuses, they developed a very sensitive
calorimeter which permitted them to discover CF
Oriani closely replicated F&P with a better calorimeter
that he built himself.
In retrospective it was an unlucky finding: prematurely,
in the worst place, they came upon a most important new energy source, however
in a larva form- under-developed. It was a historical bad luck; there are 3
kinds of discoveries; lucky, unlucky and cold fusion.
Discovering FF was a formidable, bright performance! And despite all bad chances, the Founding Fathers and hundreds of their brave followers have succeeded to demonstrate the very existence of excess heat using this very poor tool. (Marco Diecibelli has a voice, muteness cannot be amplified) A wonderful heroic performance but the end of the possibilities, there.
Discovering FF was a formidable, bright performance! And despite all bad chances, the Founding Fathers and hundreds of their brave followers have succeeded to demonstrate the very existence of excess heat using this very poor tool. (Marco Diecibelli has a voice, muteness cannot be amplified) A wonderful heroic performance but the end of the possibilities, there.
When you find a phenomenon which is barely measurable,
you have two choices: to develop more sensitive methods of measurement or try
to enhance, amplify the phenomenon. These are choices-in-principle; in the
electrolytic cell the phenomenon is sentenced to weakness and unreliability-
the solution is to build a much better
environment where the phenomenon gets its full power, flourishes and works for
us... Use engineering and science.
The problems of the wet electrolytic Pd cells
were not resolved simply because they cannot be resolved, it is impossible.
You have to understand what happened, for making the good
and useful happen.
Peter
about F&P one of their great error was to be to competent in calorimetry.
ReplyDeletetheir apparently simple calorimeter was based on decades of experience, which led to many detail that newcomers could not even imagine...
the bubbling were strirring, and the current density was a key to avoid recombination.
the hard vacuum dewar was a key to the reliability of the measurement as was the silvering of the neck that was avoiding to have the first centimeter of water bath where temperature was not stabilized at 0.01C unlike below change the heat transfer...
the measuring of the recombination by refilling volume was another detail...
their method was really cheap on component but very expensive in competence.
their failure is well known in cryptography :
being sure of something because you have absolute evidence, is not the same as being able to convince a third party who don't have all your knowledge, and worst than all, that don't trust you.
Oriani or McKubre calorimeter are not better than F&P, but they are better to convince less competent and absolutely distrusting skeptics.
the demand for tea kettle, for high power, is one of the symptom of those incompetent and distrusting skeptics.
A symptom of people who don't trust science and instruments and prefer to trust their own eyes, or more probably symptom of people who refuse reality that they should understand, using arguments that they imagine can convince the mass of incompetent and undeducated people, who trust more their eyes than instruments they ignore.
The war of skepticism against LENR is more how educated but deluded people try to abuse the less informed and educated people.
People like Gary Taubes, Huizenga, tried to fool the masses , the media, with cargo cult skepticsm, like tea kettle fallacy (uselless/small phenomenon don't exist), plane crash fallacy (unreliable phenomenon don't exist), inverted popper fallacy (experiments that challenge theory are artifact, or if artifact impossible, fraud, and if fraud impossible unimagined fraud) because they were sure to be right but had no serious argument to support their claims.
honest people are more dangerous than vested interest.
Dear Alain,
DeleteThank you for this prompt and correct analysis.
I had many open discussions these days about what we could call Reputation Management of LENR, including with intelligent and nice people, who are agnostic re CF waiting for better proofs.
Some of them are usually trusting science and measurement but cannot accept that the instrument show 5 times nothing and once-
something reasonable.
People, honest are interested in both Truth and Value but in the case of LENR the focus is due to historicak reasons on Value. A new phenomenon can be a lab curiosity, perfect for a beautiful paper
say in Science et Vie or an promising energy source- abundent, clean, cheap. Our duty is to make LENR valuable.
Peter
reliability is our goal.
Deletelike what I see on much less replicated EmDrive, which is a true question and a high risk, I have observed a scientific tragedy.
I can understand that people who want to invest their retirement money, to make a business for living, to go alive on mars, ask of reliability of scientific findings.
As we are engineers, I can immodestly say it is our business... I can honestly answer it is often hard to deliver.
but if on earth there are people who should be curious on things that only happen when planets align or moon is on the good phase, who should accept to suspend their belief and their disbelief, it is scientists.
today, thanks to funding committees and peer review, scientists are afraid to admit they don't know if it will work or not. they often take irrational precautions before showing interest, then when things get bad they refuse to admit they screw up... yet it is their mission to fail 99% of times, and cause a revolution once in a life...
today the most incoherent observation is that scientists only search where there is good probability to find, even more cautious not to break theories where it is no dotted-line printed by the editor.
crazy people who dare to search where there is incoherent evidences, hard to reproduce protocols, are those who should not, engineers, applied scientists , businessmen, retired scientists, garage inventors...
young researchers in fundamental science are forced to follow the line of the party, or they lose their funding, their citation index, their prize expectation.
cold fusion is a symptom of somethings that goes wrong with science.
of course once we make a plane that fly with LENR people will believe us, but academic science is not there just to record kitty hawk success, or to copy Forbes news, not even to record the success of applied science.
Academic science should lead applied science, engineers, businessmen, far away where no man have been before.
It is just digging where there is cross on the map, and breaking theories where there is dotted lines.
As if being wrong was a problem, and not admitting it was a solution...
Yes, you are right, Science has great problems with its policy, locally and globally, with the grants system and funding, with its leaders, the peer review system, the Medawar Zone and all .. I know them well, especially for my country. No ideal solutions exist. The peer review system is in the same class as democracy and marraige- full of defects but nothing better was invented.
ReplyDeleteYou say :
cold fusion is a symptom of somethings that goes wrong with science
Absolutely true, but prior to this cold fusion is a symptom that it is something very wrong with the kind of cold fusion originally discovered in its cradle
To use a meaphor which is- if my memory is still working- very familar
for you personally- how many bycicles with quadrat wheels will you sell per day?
Peter
ReplyDeletecoins for pou and potions for pou for free