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In matters of PREDICTION- the
Everest of the DIKW scale, only one thing is worse than the Cassandra Syndrome
(you make perfect predictions but nobody believes you) – the Malraux Syndrome
(you predict very improbable, even impossible very dangerous things and they
become reality).
Andre Malraux has told (or is
this an urban legend?):
The 21st century will be religious or
it will not be at all”
He declared (or not, but this
not more relevant) this in a time of relative reason when human intelligence
seemed to follow Flynn’s Law slowly but constantly increasing... A terrible
prediction- now, some 45 years later “the spectre of fundamentalism seizes the
world” And there are more forms of fundamentalism of all colors and shades –
what is common in all is that they are entwined with political extremisms and
all preach death of the infidels or of those thinking differently.
“Who is not with us, is
against us; and who is against us, has no right to live” “we own the Unique
Truth and who denies it MUST die!”- simple, direct, deeply felt, righteous
slogans calling to action. This was your idea, mon cher Andre?
But I have to shut up- I am
not an iota better. See my Septoe:
“The 21st Century is the
12th, resurrected” –
is this the cause that today
we have a caliphate?
It was ignored as a few
similar sad ones as:
Intolerance kills
people, tolerance destroys the Society. (Being
honest, I will not deny that I liked the idea of multiculturalism as so many other pathologically
naïve people. Never, and inclusive in LENR –never forget that: Things are
NOT what they seem!
Dumbing down people is
the greatest megabusiness.
People will believe
anything except the truth. (See the Heat/Helium discussion)
Schooling helps
grown-up, while media forces grown-down.
Kleptocracy is the most
natural form of government. (or is it
theocracy?)
The world economy- a
myriapode with Achilles Heels
Why all these 7 word
predictions-in-part which all are now more than real, hadn’t had not the slightest
echo? Probably because:
“In my life, obstacle was usually a
verb”
Clearly I have no success- after the
downvoting by peers of my essay http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2015
yesterday again my perfectly idealistic, vitally necessary and completely
impossible science, Scipiology (search on the web and you will find it) has
missed to receive the IgNobel Prize it deserves more than anything else in this
word,, nothing is more improbable than Scipiology http://www.improbable.com/ig/2014/
. I protested furiously, I understand
meritocracy is not healthy but why should we kill it completely?
As you well know, I am dialoging with the Internet.
Perhaps the reason of my very bad mood now is that the very first news- local
for Cluj- I read this morning was that at
a soccer championship here for children 9 years old a terrible violent incident
, general fighting erupted and one parent was almost killed due to concussion
of the brain. It is symptomatic that my writer friend Valeriu Butulescu has
said:
“today I am not more scared night-time in
the cemetery, I am scared daytime on the football arena!”
And who has taken seriously the warning of
Goddess Athena who told me clearly that the gods of violence, greed and
stupidity will conquer and rule the entire world if we will not stop them, less
than 20 people have read my interview: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2011/01/stop-koalemos.html
It is dreadful that so many bad predictions
have shaped our present and future based on the Malraux syndrome.
We have seen enough I think about how
dangerous a job can Prediction be- good prediction is so high on the DIKWP
scale that only gods a few humans have access to it. How should we dare to make
predictions for our LENR? I am sure
Cassandra is much more at home there than Malraux.
One prediction appeared here at noon :
“Which organization(s)
will publish the first paper describing a net energy positive Low Energy
Nuclear Reaction (also known as cold fusion) device or process in a journal
indexed on Thomson Reuters Web of Science?”
The author and the readers are smart- so no
direct answer can be detected.
I cannot abstain from making a LENR
prediction. You well remember (if you are my age) that at the discovery of cold
fusion the Law of Accumulation of Events has been active, The first day after
the Fleischmann Pons announcement the Exxon Valdez catastrophic oil spill has
happened.
Tomorrow we will receive the first relevant
information regarding the Rossi Report simultaneously with Scotland ’s vote for
independence.
It will be a terrible political catastrophe –
not “per se” but creating a frightening bad example and symbol– tens of European groups ethnical, and
religious and even political or cultural will start fight for useless
independence and the European Union will be in deadly danger. I am a recidivist
in making prophecies.
You do not need to be a prophet when it is
about LENR, it will be accepted by
science and public only when it will demonstrate both its TRUTH (b Science) and
its VALUE (as practical source of energy)- this was the original promise and
people have good memory.
Exactly as predicting, making promises is a
risky job.
Peter
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