TWO MUSICAL MOTTOs:
This is my blog, my writings and I belong to both cultures (Snow!) and I put everything in the frame of my problem solving system, for me LENR will be a problem as long as it is not a great energy source.
I like good music, mainly but not only classical music, please see the lyrics and listen to: http://www.lyricsfreak.com/f/frank+sinatra/my+way_20056378.html
The Way to Truth is obstacled*, long, tortuous, meandering between the Hills of Error (take care “Rocks Falling!”) Go slowly like a snail on emery paper, if you hurry, you will knock down friends and lose them.
You will never arrive to the end of the way, just to your end of it.
* “obstacled way” is the antinomy of “shortcut”, IMHO
LEARNING FROM PROF. PIANTELLI:
My deep gratitude to Franco Piantelli, I have learned so much from him about the LENR system he has discovered, developed and explained.
A PIANTELLI TAXONOMY
THE SCIENTIFIC VALUES OF PROFESSOR PIANTELLI:
How does apply Prof. Piantelli the Rules of Galileo in practice
THE RISE, THE FALL AND THE OTHER RISE OF ANDREA ROSSI:
The following statement of Andrea Rossi has convinced me that he does not tell the truth. Later I have recognized that it is a very great difference between all the classical LENR systems and LENR+ discovered/invented by Rossi and engineered by Defkalion.
“My process has nothing to do with the process of Piantelli, The proof is that I am making operating reactors; he is not.” (Andrea Rossi)
My reaction to the first Bologna experiment, January 14, 2011-
hope that it was a real (not ideal!) triumph, mixed with doubts.
A very long and bitter discussion re ‘steam or not steam’ has
Triumph looks in the mirror:
At that moment, the following teams/scientists were more visible in the fight for the energy market: Classic CF/LENR, Francesco Piantelli, Andrea Rossi and Randell Mills. They were presented as opera singers. The story became very complicated, with many falsettos heard. Later a male Maria Callas became the best singer- but who could anticipate this?
The New Energy singers (metaphor):
An interesting moment of victory and increased confidence and reputation for Andrea Ross:
Andrea Rossi's E-kittens new concerto - Swedish public in Bologna:
It has arrived the time for a serious professional analysis
of the E-cat. It has started with a few questions.
Questions preparing a SWOT analysis of Ni-H energy sources:
The Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats analysis is continued here:
BUYING THE E-CAT IN THE SACK:
I have tried to suggest to Andrea Rossi a simple, cheap, direct
method to settle the problem “steam- not steam”.
CALL FOR A PERFECT E-CAT EXPERIMENT:
Due to reasons unknown and not understandable for me, Rossi has ignored my idea and has censored it. The journalist Steve Krivit has published a very negative report about Rossi. My phobia for steam – as a problem became fatal. I have confessed that Rossi- his methods, strategy and personality are above (or under) my understanding.
AN IMPOSSIBLE INTELLIGENCE TEST and GASEOUS HYDROPHOBIA.:
The 1MW demo planned by Rossi was an idea I did not like, I have anticipated bad results however I was too pessimistic.
E-cats are more collective i.e. can work together better than I have thought. It’s true Rossi’s results were clearly regressive (power and COP decreasing from the first to the last experiment, however the 1MW demo seemed to work.
ANTICIPATING THE 1MW DEMO.:
Rossi has generated a lot of informational smoke with his experiments, however it is almost unbelievable to think that he has performed these with devices that do not work at all- i.e. without any excess heat. The technological maturity of the E-cats seems to be a problem, however Rossi has coped quite well with the situation.
THIN HOPES FOR FAT E-CATS:
This was written before the Oct 6 experiment perhaps the best from the series as credibility, The self-sustaining episode- not long enough to be convincing, was impressive anyway.
Probably this is also the moment when I became convinced that Defkalion is on the way to elaborate a technology much better than Rossi’s. From the very start they have discussed as serious professionals.
ONE FAT-CAT BETTER THAN 52 FAT-CATS?:
Andrea Rossi has used a new type of E-cats- “fat” with much weaker performances than the former “thin” E-cats. He had to sacrifice power and efficiency for stability, it seems.
SEVEN SKINNY E-CATS EATING SEVEN FAT CATS:
A day before the 1MW test of October 28- I was asking if the experiment will be a day for Energy confirming Rossi or a day for Truth showing he has still to work a lot.1MW TEST: E-DAY or T-DAY for ROSSI?:http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/10/1mw-test-e-day-or-t-day-for-rossi.html
The 1MW test went much better than I have expected however it had a very short duration. Why? Again, self-sustaining heat for 5.5 hours and a mystery, including a mystery Customer- a very strange story.
EVENTUALLY, IT WAS AN M-DAY FOR ROSSI:
Here I am trying to apply my problem solving rules to the Ecat. Rossi declares no more experiment (public) will come and moves to the US – he says for organizing the industrial production of e-cats. He remains very active and talkative on his blog.
The Ecat problem:
THE BASICS OF LENR?:
After many months of intensive thinking, study and correspondence I have arrived to a new vision of LENR as an energy source (not as science!) and its long history but I have dared to present it in the form of a metaphor. It can be a bit anticipatory (forward looking)but it says the following terrible things:
- the classic Pd-D electrolysis system will remain weak, unreliable and short lived and will not be scaled up, never!
- the Ni-H and similar nanometric powder systems are able to give much better results than Pd-D however the drawback of low energy density and intensity remains, as such cannot be scaled up to commercial energy sources
- Rossi has found additives that are able to enhance the processes with some 2-3 orders of magnitude. Problems of engineering appear, Defkalion will solve them better and fasterthan Rossi and will be the Winner.
History will confirm or infirm these ideas.
THE METAPHOR STORY OF LENR.
Two important issues regarding the situation of LENR in this essay:
1- sometimes, many times you will lose, learn how to do this;
2- kibitzes are a nuisance, Defkalion was wise to get rid of them for the period of critical and decisive tests
MEMORIES FROM THE CHESS CLUB:
I agree with the author that NAE (nuclear active environment) re the clue of LENR. I have called NAE simply active sites in my 1992 paper: http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/GluckPunderstand.pdf
It seems the dynamic density of these NAE is determining the rate of the LENReactions Piantelli has described in his papers and patents the NAE-genesis for the nanostructured transition metals-H,
In this writing I have told clearly my opinion about Rossi’s deeds and tests- not guilty of outright fraud.
The new edition of Ed Storms’s CF/LENR Guide:
LENR has generated many surprises and very few were ‘good’.
Due to my age and my personal history I can accept this and remain positive and optimist re LENR. Understanding what was bad it is easier to see what will be good.
LENR and DESTINY.
Actually this is a sad and angry message, why it is so much easier to discuss in our forums ad infinitum small details, old facts, unproven ideas than the essence-as the future of LENR?
I have said heretical things- as Pd-D will never be a technology,
non-additivated Ni-H will be small technology (if) and nobody
shows me that I am in deep error, nobody defends LENR orthodoxy. Why? I am right?
DETAILITIS KILLS DISCUSSION- IN LENR TOO:
It is a presentation of LENR as a discovery born and grown up in unusually hostile circumstances, due to outer but also inner causes. It has a painfully long technological pre-history and for starting a real techno-history it must be metamorphosed in LENR+. LENR works mainly with preformed NAE, while LENR+ works with NAE formed “in situ” with much enhanced dynamics. (For the time given only one LENR colleague has explicitly accepted the existence of LENR+, different from LENR and much powerful).
I also try to explain here how could Rossi, an outsider, solve the problem of a practical LENR, LENR+.
THE CONCEPT OF “MISCOVERY” AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR LENR
See my Problem Solving Rules- this writing is about how to solve insoluble problems- i.e. those that can be solved only if their premises are radically and creatively changed. LENR is unfortunately such a problem, it can be changed only if transformed in LENR+.
SOLVING INSOLUBLE PROBLEMS:
Along the way to truth, but mostly when you are exhausted and near to the target, you will encounter the Moment of Truth, saying your truth is not the Truth. In this case, whose Moment of truth is coming? My one and a lot of successful experiments and wise theories will show that I was in abysmally deep error and have told here a lot of stupid things?
Or it will be the Moment of Truth for LENR and everything will change in our field, including thinking?
Che sera, sera!