E-cat problem solving exercise and a new acronym:
UAQ- Uselessly Asked Questions.
Based on practice, I believe that using my Rules of Problem Solving- see please: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/06/super-rule-included-complete-list-of.html
even the most difficult problems can be solved. The future will show that these rules are both inerrant and infallible. These Rules could be used efficiently to stop the worldwide epidemics of Probletence and to make the Crisis a thing of the past. However, unfortunately, less than 2000 people have read these rules/laws, almost nobody uses them systematically and what’s the most disappointing, the Rules are not taught in the schools. Other invaluable tools of thinking as Cipolla’s Rules or memetics or my Modes of Thinking are in a similar state, therefore the troubles of Mankind will continue indefinitely...it’s a great pity.
The problem of the E-cat of Andrea Rossi is one of the most difficult ones I have ever met, mainly due to the low quality and
Reliability and high toxicity of the available information. Actually, this problem is more than useful for fine tuning the problem solving methodology.
I have confessed months ago that I don’t understand what Rossi is doing and his motivation, see: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/08/impossible-intelligence-test-and.html but in meantime I am starting to get a vision, based on his science, engineering, management, strategy, moneytheism and…the problems he may have.
He has completely ignored my opinion-see please:
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/05/buying-e-cat-in-sack.html But it seems he uses repellents for any kind of advices in contrast with his statements of learning from many people.
I will show you – fast style, which problem solving rules can be applied directly to the E-cat:
1. There are NO isolated problems, they always come in dynamic bunches.
Lack of a patent- a Cain’s mark for an inventor, the obligation to believe his own story, lack of understanding of the Ni H system, missing know- how elements, absent know-why elements, unknown and hidden parameters not tuned, rigid and irreversible decisions, being nice structurally but rude functionally. and.. competition is on the way and coming fast, etc., etc.
3. NOT solving the problem, but defining it is the critical step .
This is a fundamental rule and anybody, Rossi included seems
to have a definition. Rossi’s seem to be “why the triumphal march music is not loud enough”? My definition is “excess heat yes, energy source no.” i.e. technological immaturity.
4. NOT the unknown data, but those known and untrue is the greatest obstacle to this solution.
In scientific and technological issues, it is very dangerous and damaging to use false data, baseless theories and ideas unsupported by experiment. Rossi’s assertion that his Ni-H system is radically different from the former Ni-H LENR systems and the legend of the super-secret catalyst is a gate to such falsities. He has no scientific base of his technology, postpones indefinitely the contracts with the
and Bologna . Do you remember he has promised to present his Theory after the 28 Oct 1MW demo? Now he explains that the theory could reveal the secret- ergo nix theory! Uppsala Universities
5. .NOT what we know, but what we don’t know is more important for solving the problem.
Nature works frequently via surprises and applies the Pareto Rule-
80% of the surprises are bad and 20% neutral or good. The Customers on which Rossi’s strategy is based will have them, if they really exist.
As regarding Rossi , he is much more efficient in preparing unknown data- mystery catalysts, mystery clients, hidden parameters, open questions, fractional truths, perfect lies (the contrary of which is also a lie),chaos, confusion, disorientation than simple verified data, reliable facts, local certainties.
6. NOT the main desired positive effect, but those secondary negative and/or undesired effects decide in most cases if a solution is implemented.
Not knowing, ignoring or diminishing the risks both for the generators and for the humans, can be a fatal weakness.
As I have shown in my papers on the Ego Out blog,
there are many characteristics and functionalities beyond excess heat and some can be quite dangerous or very annoying, It would be a rhetorical question to ask Rossi how many E-cats- hours of functioning were accumulated till today and how good is the troubleshooting experience accumulated.
The following three very general and strong rules act in synergetic combinations to solve the many problems of development, progress and diversification of this potential new source of energy.
!!! 17. Do NOT accept the premises of the problem, change them as necessary and possible
18. Do NOT stop at the first solution, seek for alternatives.
2. There are NO final solutions for the really great problems, these have to be solved again and again. for long years
A lot of other rules (7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14, and 16) are only partially applicable in this case.
We could write volumes about the following rule applied in the case of Rossi:
15 NOT the enhancement of human strengths but the limitation
of human weaknesses is more useful for efficient problem solving.
You will find in my Blog many proofs that the negative is more powerful than the positive. In practice, it is more important what to NOT do than what to do.
However, Rossi is probably the most perfect case for the Rule No 19- a super-rule.
19. NOT the wise application of these rules but the finding of the specific exceptions to these, is the real high art of problem solving.
Because no logic, no common sense, no things learned by long experience can be applied to this case. And again, it is vital to not
mix the points of view: geniuses make their own rules, but this does not mean that everybody who breaks the rules is a genius.
The solution of the Rossi Problem is good competition for Rossi
Competition that respects the basic rules of science, engineering, management, marketing and strategy.
An awfully difficult problem. Can we call it insoluble? If it so, rile 17 can help, the premises have to be radically changed, that is Rossi‘s monopoly has to be terminated and a healthy competition situation has to be created.
It happens that just today I have received a paper speaking about
Exceptions, it’s title
Exceptions handling is complex work:
The author is not speaking about Rossi but Rossi is an exception
to a lot of things,.
My long time blog e-partner,
Georgina who lives in , has also not considered this subject when she wrote some remarkable new Septoes: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/12/new-septoes.html Vienna
Neither the believers nor the skeptics (in CF) will agree with:
Fools trust everyone; wise not even themselves.
But the following one is perfectly valid due to the unusual pseudo-generosity of Andrea Rossi answering questions.
Answers are nothing else than disguised questions. More generally most of his answers are not real answers.
But Rossi prefers questions coming from his enthusiastic fans- and they are myriads- who ask nice questions, more precisely,nice non-questions.
The other questions that really ask something are not welcome, and this situation has inspired me a new acronym.
Everybody knows FAQ- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FAQ
I think UAQ lists of Uselessly Asked Questions are also very useful.
I started very enthusiastically to write such a list for CF/CMNS?CANR/LENR but I stopped. The first question I put on the list “What’s the best theory for the field?” is a bomb. Try to write your lists and you will see that is almost impossible to not offend a colleague.
It is an orgy of diversity of opinions in the field.
Let’s focus on the E-cat as I have done it today. Let’s compose the UAQ list for it.