MOTTO


DAILY NOTES
a) The most probable scenario of the Rossi-IH Trial
Some twelve years ago, Freeman Dyson and I have made simultaneously an important philosophical discovery and have popularized it on the Web, in this form:
"OUR IS THE MOST INTERESTING OF ALL POSSIBLE WORLDS"
You can read more here if you wish:
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2011/01/my-favorite-i-word.html
As you can state, the authors have discussed friendly and we could establish that Dyson has arrived to this conclusion based on religion while I based on secular arguments, so it is a case of perfectly independent discovery. If we ignore the ubiquity of the Evil in this most interesting World -it was a positive discovery. However, a bit later I have made a rather negative discovery that does not add to or subtract from the former : OUR UNIVERSE IS THE SLOWEST OF ALL POSSIBLE UNIVERSES" This fatal slowness is measured naturally by the very ratio of he huge inter-galactic distances and the snail like speed of light. I almost made an intellectual depression- all my friends here well know my quasi-obsession for speed, instant, immediacy, agility whatever...
I made this introduction only to help you to understand and have empathy for my shock caused
by the following anticipation of most probable scenario of the Rossi contra IH Trial. The author, my reader friend A.S. is a British analyst, as far I understand a reputed Law analyst- who has alluded more times to some connections to Woodward. It was obvious from the start that Alf is actually more on the side of IH, however I am a reasonable man and blogger very tolerant even receptive to broad range of opinions. What he has to say:
"Dear Peter,
I regret that my analysis will bitterly disappoint you- taking in account your age, health state and desire to see the technology legit, confirmed and working. Small chances, Pete. It will be confrontation between the results of the ERV to which Rossi will add energy bills demonstrating that the plant has obtained excellent results day by day and each week and month of the 12 and the results of IH based on the same measurements demonstrating "no trace of excess heat ever-never"- I heard (but better cut this) that IH has obtained the signatures of three
Nobelists and almost one hundred reputed physicists on their document., including some LENR experts and a psychologist. A built-in lie detector will show all the time that THEY tell the Truth about the Test.
Rossi will try for sure to make a lot of fuss and noise that during three long years of collaborations and demos made in cooperation for investors the IH people has completely forgotten or avoided to tell that there is no excess heat as claimed by him.
IH will answer with dignity that they are no "fast-company" , we do not have a culture of agility.do not strive for exaggerated reaction speeds- what they wanted to avoid is to hurt the feelings of the inventor; Rossi is a very sensitive man, see his touching story about a crow and two small birds- (shown here too,last Sunday) Your merit too Peter, they have taken seriously your over-pessimistic "this is the slowest world possible. " Rossi's insinuation that his asking-money was a revelation for IH leading them to a new reality will be in vain, and you will not believe why: the very different attitude of the parts from the start of the conflict. While Rossi was complaining unfriendly all the time and has sent his army of supporters speak bad things about IH, IH has tried very hard to help Rossi with wise advises how to make a non-existing and non-functionl technology good, has made a lot of positive propaganda for the work and
personality of the inventor, has sent more people to discover virtues and merits of Rossi's former collaborators as Giuseppe Levi and Mats Lewan. A generous campaign to improve the PR of the Rossi group- very high ethical standard, I could even say noble but will abstain for the moment..
Therefore you will see a judgment as wise as Solomon's it will be taken a decision that IH indeed needs a longer period to make a well documented and deeply understood decision- to pay or not to pay.
Most probable a new 10 years 1MW test will be ordered.
A committee of experts and bureaucrats will establish if is about 3653 or 3654 days taking in account he leap years etc.
I know that the near future events do not fit your plans but "Dura lex, sed lex"and refering to the future of New Energy: "Fiat justitia, pereat mundus"
Very truly ours,
Alf Stokes.
Such slowness kills me fast!
b) The answer of Ed Storms to his AXIOMS
Thanks Peter, you understand. The first step is to agree on what is real, i.e. the AXIOMS. Next, we need to make the explanation totally consistent with these axioms. This essential process in missing in efforts to explain LENR.
DAILY NEWS
1) ONce, more time coming back A volte... molte volte... RITORNANO!
http://22passi.blogspot.ro/2016/04/a-volte-molte-volte-ritornano.html
Well readable with Google Translate gives an answer to the accusations of IH agaisnt Levi
2) GS5-3 Pressure Puzzle - An Open Challenge
https://www.lenr-forum.com/forum/index.php/Thread/3200-GS5-3-Pressure-Puzzle-An-Open-Challenge/?postID=18105#post18105
I have received a message from Yuri Bazhutov:
7) Excellent Geopolitical #LENR Analysis by Doug Marker
DAILY NOTES
a) The most probable scenario of the Rossi-IH Trial
Some twelve years ago, Freeman Dyson and I have made simultaneously an important philosophical discovery and have popularized it on the Web, in this form:
"OUR IS THE MOST INTERESTING OF ALL POSSIBLE WORLDS"
You can read more here if you wish:
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2011/01/my-favorite-i-word.html
As you can state, the authors have discussed friendly and we could establish that Dyson has arrived to this conclusion based on religion while I based on secular arguments, so it is a case of perfectly independent discovery. If we ignore the ubiquity of the Evil in this most interesting World -it was a positive discovery. However, a bit later I have made a rather negative discovery that does not add to or subtract from the former : OUR UNIVERSE IS THE SLOWEST OF ALL POSSIBLE UNIVERSES" This fatal slowness is measured naturally by the very ratio of he huge inter-galactic distances and the snail like speed of light. I almost made an intellectual depression- all my friends here well know my quasi-obsession for speed, instant, immediacy, agility whatever...
I made this introduction only to help you to understand and have empathy for my shock caused
by the following anticipation of most probable scenario of the Rossi contra IH Trial. The author, my reader friend A.S. is a British analyst, as far I understand a reputed Law analyst- who has alluded more times to some connections to Woodward. It was obvious from the start that Alf is actually more on the side of IH, however I am a reasonable man and blogger very tolerant even receptive to broad range of opinions. What he has to say:
"Dear Peter,
I regret that my analysis will bitterly disappoint you- taking in account your age, health state and desire to see the technology legit, confirmed and working. Small chances, Pete. It will be confrontation between the results of the ERV to which Rossi will add energy bills demonstrating that the plant has obtained excellent results day by day and each week and month of the 12 and the results of IH based on the same measurements demonstrating "no trace of excess heat ever-never"- I heard (but better cut this) that IH has obtained the signatures of three
Nobelists and almost one hundred reputed physicists on their document., including some LENR experts and a psychologist. A built-in lie detector will show all the time that THEY tell the Truth about the Test.
Rossi will try for sure to make a lot of fuss and noise that during three long years of collaborations and demos made in cooperation for investors the IH people has completely forgotten or avoided to tell that there is no excess heat as claimed by him.
IH will answer with dignity that they are no "fast-company" , we do not have a culture of agility.do not strive for exaggerated reaction speeds- what they wanted to avoid is to hurt the feelings of the inventor; Rossi is a very sensitive man, see his touching story about a crow and two small birds- (shown here too,last Sunday) Your merit too Peter, they have taken seriously your over-pessimistic "this is the slowest world possible. " Rossi's insinuation that his asking-money was a revelation for IH leading them to a new reality will be in vain, and you will not believe why: the very different attitude of the parts from the start of the conflict. While Rossi was complaining unfriendly all the time and has sent his army of supporters speak bad things about IH, IH has tried very hard to help Rossi with wise advises how to make a non-existing and non-functionl technology good, has made a lot of positive propaganda for the work and
personality of the inventor, has sent more people to discover virtues and merits of Rossi's former collaborators as Giuseppe Levi and Mats Lewan. A generous campaign to improve the PR of the Rossi group- very high ethical standard, I could even say noble but will abstain for the moment..
Therefore you will see a judgment as wise as Solomon's it will be taken a decision that IH indeed needs a longer period to make a well documented and deeply understood decision- to pay or not to pay.
Most probable a new 10 years 1MW test will be ordered.
A committee of experts and bureaucrats will establish if is about 3653 or 3654 days taking in account he leap years etc.
I know that the near future events do not fit your plans but "Dura lex, sed lex"and refering to the future of New Energy: "Fiat justitia, pereat mundus"
Very truly ours,
Alf Stokes.
Such slowness kills me fast!
b) The answer of Ed Storms to his AXIOMS
Thanks Peter, you understand. The first step is to agree on what is real, i.e. the AXIOMS. Next, we need to make the explanation totally consistent with these axioms. This essential process in missing in efforts to explain LENR.
I have attempted to use this process in my books and in the recent summary paper. As you say, we need to use the Zeroth Rule of Projects. This can also be stated as First Do NO Harm. In other words, try to add nothing that distracts from what can be shown to be real. Apply imagination only as a last resort. Always work with nature. I will add a favorite of my own "Do Not Nitpick". Instead, look for the major features of the process. As with prospecting for gold, the gold will be found in the mountains and rivers. These features need to be mapped first.
Thank you so much, dear Ed!
DAILY NEWS
1) ONce, more time coming back A volte... molte volte... RITORNANO!
http://22passi.blogspot.ro/2016/04/a-volte-molte-volte-ritornano.html
Well readable with Google Translate gives an answer to the accusations of IH agaisnt Levi
2) GS5-3 Pressure Puzzle - An Open Challenge
https://www.lenr-forum.com/forum/index.php/Thread/3200-GS5-3-Pressure-Puzzle-An-Open-Challenge/?postID=18105#post18105
3) Quantum Tunneling Water?
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/quantum-tunneling-water/
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/quantum-tunneling-water/
4) Andrea Rossi is the Nobody:
5) Information about ICCF-20- updated:
http://iccf20.net/
6) Yuri N. Bazhutov Plasma Electrolysis System (Video in Russian)
http://www.e-catworld.com/2016/04/29/yuri-n-bazhutov-plasma-electrolysis-system-video-in-russian/
6) Yuri N. Bazhutov Plasma Electrolysis System (Video in Russian)
http://www.e-catworld.com/2016/04/29/yuri-n-bazhutov-plasma-electrolysis-system-video-in-russian/
I have received a message from Yuri Bazhutov:
Dear Peter,
I hope you will read understand the text in Rusian:
https://youtu.be/yoOFL1UvT-U
, https://yadi.sk/i/ bw8Pr5ehrM3NQ
, https://yadi.sk/i/_- DpqR0irM3Zj
Complete video, compressed video.MPEG4 and non-compressed video MPEG@2of Shestopalov.
Demonstration of work of FAKEL D2MT with COP=3
I also give the link to the video of Starukhin. Two days on one file here
https://www.youtube.com/watch? v=CtGKaAzvgoM&index=3&list= PLiXQWn1tFNwBq8QUBp6Sh5Poxz2Ub us0S
Take alook and tell what is not understood
I hope you will read understand the text in Rusian:
https://youtu.be/yoOFL1UvT-U
, https://yadi.sk/i/
, https://yadi.sk/i/_-
Complete video, compressed video.MPEG4 and non-compressed video MPEG@2of Shestopalov.
Demonstration of work of FAKEL D2MT with COP=3
I also give the link to the video of Starukhin. Two days on one file here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
Take alook and tell what is not understood
See please the variant written by Doug for Ego Out- below:
AN ESSAY BY DOUG MARKER
LENR IN CONTEXT-1
Physics is on the verge of an Earth-shattering discovery
This is an essay that considers the possibility and likely consequences of a disruptive new energy technology emerging very quickly.
In looking at the Rossi eCat 'ERV' report claims as published by Andrea Rossi, few people that I know of, expected the claimed
results to include a COP of 50. I think most if not all, who expected any results at all, imagined it might average out at at
least 3 but optimistically up to 6. The announcement that it reached 50 for such a long period of the test was stunning to say
the least. A COP of 50 is not a simple advance, it would be spectacular and if accepted today, an energy game-changer and a
perfect example of a ‘disruptive’ technology. One that has the potential in a very short period to shift the way energy is
created and used. Changes that would alter the fate of many countries, especially those who have built their economies on selling
oil that is on average dearer that cheap Arab oil but still profitable for them. Some countries (esp in Sth America & Africa &
some parts of the Middle East, plus those European countries who rely on their more expensive off-shore oil. Some could face
political collapse if their oil loses its strategic role and value. Oil is an intrinsic part of most nations foreign policies.
Saudi Arabia is a special case and is of concern for a number of special reasons. It is a fragile country in this regard. Fragile
in the sense that a shift away from oil as a primary could see the Saud family dynasty overthrown and Sunni Wahhabi extremists
take over. This is what they are already attempting to do in Syria and Iraq. It is interesting that just in this past month the
US Govt has directly intervened in the affairs of Saudi Arabia who have now committed to: one, divesting themselves of 100% control
of their nation's oil reserves (still the largest in the world); and two, to open the country up. The current closed to outsiders
approach has to end. Dropping their isolation is the best way to undermine the Wahhabi extremists who are taking full advantage
of the closed nature of Saudi Arabia society because of the isolation enforced in the past by the Saud family. Any deeper turmoil
in the Middle East could be a harbinger of world war 3. The tensions are ripe. One fuse could well be a disruptive technology
emerging that kicks the feet from under oil as a primary strategic commodity ruled *and managed* by nations’ and intrinsic in
their foreign policies. Anyone in any doubt only needs to read Daniel Yergin’s Pulitzer prize winning book “The Prize”. The story
is an amazing one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ The_Prize:_The_Epic_Quest_for_ Oil,_Money,_and_Power
If, as I personally suspect, the attacks on LENR and even Rossi, are all about delay, the need being to get the world in order
first. If this were to be the case, then the current contradictions, the claims and counter-claims, seem to fall into place.
The bigger picture has national interests and conflict avoidance at heart. The small picture is to get LENR on the table as a
working ‘new energy’ we can all make use of. Climate issues are a seperate matter also needing consideration.
I expect the current debate to continue at a shrill level. What I watch out for are the people who have a clear history of
whipping up anti LENR and anti Rossi hysteria. That choice of word is IMHO a perfect fit for much of what is being said about
Andrea Rossi. The way he is spoken about by supposedly well educated intelligent people is simply irrational unless the nature
of the personal attacks is to serve a purpose or is part of a hidden agenda. The evidence seems to be to delay LENR emergence
at all costs and Rossi the man is one cost. Also, consider how many of the better known anti-Rossi attackers, are so certain
they know 100% what they claim is true, that this somehow allows them to be so virulent in their claims, when, none of them
thus far have been directly involved.
Does anyone remember the hysteria that occurred in the USA in web forums over the US decision to invade Iraq. I remember it
only too well and how nasty and shrill the pro-invasion ‘voices’ got. Those of us outside the US had a very different view
of if Saddam Hussien had the weapons of mass destruction that the administration claimed and used as the justification for
the invasion. Then years later we learned (via leaked documents) that some US Govt agencies and military interests set up
teams to go into forums and chat sites to force their views anywhere that serious questions were being raised against the
invasion. I had not experienced anything that nasty before until now, but acknowledge the 'Pons & Flichman episode also got
very nasty. So today the virulence is about anti LENR remarks and in particular some rather vicious personal attacks on Rossi
and now even other open minded blog journalits like Peter Gluck, Jed Rothwell and Matts Lewan. These are people who seek to
keep an open debate and avoid extreme positions that are showin g up in the anti side of the debate.
No one should argue that nations are not aware of the limited life span remaining for oil as a primary source of energy.
Governments worldwide have met and chosen to work together to devise alternative non-polluting sources for a replacement
primary energy. The belief is the world has 30-40 years of known oil reserves and new ones are still being located.
The Tokamak as our saviour. Tokamaks (from Wikipedia) "is a device that uses a powerful magnetic field to confine plasma
in the shape of a torus. Achieving a stable plasma equilibrium requires magnetic field lines that move around the torus
in a helical shape."
There are several Tokamak projects underway in several countries. Notably ‘ITER’ in France a combined effort between China,
Europe, India, Japan, Korea, Russia and the USA. Then there is an even longer term follow-on ‘DEMO’, plus China also has its
seperate ‘CFETR’ project. But the Tokamaks seem to be still decades away even *if* they can be made both effective *and*
efficient. The point that needs to be made here is that Tokamaks are massively expensive and massively complex and as of
today massively under-performing. The goal is for 500MW out for about 50MW needed to drive one. A rough COP of 10. Perhaps
in 20 years if we are lucky.
Wind power is a help but is not a large scale solution, it is expensive to set up, expensive to run and maintain and
requires constant subsidization. Denmark is a world leader in manufacturing windmills and as well as exporting them
uses them to supply a significat percentage of their national needs. But, they are highly subsidised. Denmark also has
a particularly large area of shallow ocean surronding its landmass and a good average of wind to run the windmills.
Solar panels are also not yet a satisfactory solution and have similar cost to manufacture, logistics and maintenance
problems as wind power devices.
LENR as a solution is in a class of its own once it is finally accepted, the devices refined and the biased bickering
about the lack of a theory is put into perspective.
If however Rossi has his ‘miracle’ eCat, or there is perhaps some other known LENR such as Brillouin's boiler, or even some
under the radar LENR project, that have working potentially disruptive new energy technology. Then there are the other
claims such as that of Randall Mills and his brilliant light technology,
then disruption may well be nigh.
A 'potential disruption’ line of logic can not be easily dismissed or sneezed at. The energy claims *are* out there, the
consequences of any of these claims being real and perhaps ready to be developed are monumental. Those who choose to rail
against LENR based on their conviction that the science hasn’t come up with the theory, need to read about the history of
science and the blatant opposition to new theories that has dogged science since it began. So many discredited ‘theories’
later allowed science to leap ahead in the way it has. LENR *has* already been proven to be real. The propagandists refuse
to admit it. So, those who argue otherwise have a problem or an agenda. The LENR issue is “is it ready for prime time”.
Back to the Middle East, we have seen the consequences of national aspirations of Middle East people rising to the surface.
The map of the Middle East is crumbling and the artificial boundaries set as a consequence of the WW1 and WW2 western carve
ups (read Daniel Yergin’s book about this) are no longer useful nor defensible. The same might be said of African nations
too. Many of these were western political carve ups that cut across traditional tribal boundaries and loyalties.
One recent regional upheaval has been the Iranian revolution. The Shites of Iran saw a potential to create a grand Shite
Caliphate encompassing Iran (dominantly Shite), Iraq (dominantly Shite), Syria (where Shites are a minority but rule the
country as the Alahwite sect of Shia, Lebanon (where Shite Hizbollah militias have effective control) and Gaza another
Hizbollah stronghold. Had Iran obtained a nuclear weapon capability, that along with Irainian expansion (as was happening
post the Iran-Iraq war) then the potential for a Middle East conflagration was well brewed.
However, the western powers have managed to contain Iran, and despite the misgivings of some western allies (read Israel)
the US has recently pushed to end Iran’s isolation and has promoted the acceptance of its status as a potential regional
superpower. A reality that horrifies the Sunnis led by the Saudi Arabia.
In retaliation for Iran’s ambitions, groups of Iraqi Sunnis combined with Syrians, began fighting for their own Sunni
Caliphate. It would take part of Iraq, part of Syria, all Jordan and if they could, all Saudi Arabia. ISIS/ISIL are the core
of that movement. It is a continuation of the dreams promoted by the Saudi Osama Bin Laden and an extension of the Wahhabi
movement that is so strong in religiously controlled Saudi Arabia. These Sunni extremists have shown they are a force to be
reckoned with. IN Syria and Iraq, they are using captured oil to fund much of their revolution.
The fear from the anti-Iranian powers is that with the US-Iran peace, based on a commitment of Iran not to develop a bomb,
now signed, that the Iranians are free to expand trade and export oil without constraint which could allow them to become
so wealthy that no one could stop them doing whatever they want including secret work to proceed on their nuclear weapons
program. The balance between moderates and hard liners in Iran is on a knife’s edge.
So a what-if scenario is that ‘what-if’ the western powers (America in particular) know that there is a replacement for oil,
ready and capable. Then establishing peace with Iran means that Iran will have very limited time to take advantage of its
oil. The prices could (and would) drop to a small profit more in norm with any other useful (but not political) commodity.
Iran’s ambitions would and could be held in check, i.e. Iran could not use its oil muscle to threaten neighbors or anyone
else. It seems to me this is a valid scenario that has been stitched up and being enacted now.
Getting Saudi Arabia under control seems to be the current item on the agenda and the goal seems to be to starve the Wahhabi
extremists of an opportunity to overthrow the Saudi government and then have in their hands the power that oil would give
them. The Saud family are on thin ice. They are an anachronism in this modern age. They have been getting away with it
because they controll the world’s greatest oil reserves and also one of the cheapest in cost per barrel to lift.
I don’t know what today’s real cost per barrel to lift are (it is all online though) but there is a big difference. The
cheapest was always the Iraq oil, Saudi oil came close, but then the cost starts to rise markedly. Off-shore oil is much
dearer per barrel to lift, Alaskan oil even more so. Many of the smaller oil nations such as Venezuela and Nigeria have of
late only kept their production costs around sale price. Any significant drop in price would hit them hard.
So again, the case exists that a sudden introduction of a disruptive new cheap energy could topple many producing nations.
The political instability would affect us all. At worst trigger a new world war.
So, if LENR has been proven, then the governments of the world have some very serious challenges they must deal with before
any shift in the balance of energy power shakes up the world.
What is the use of owning a cheap eCat if we are all off fighting world war 3.
In looking at the Rossi eCat 'ERV' report claims as published by Andrea Rossi, few people that I know of, expected the claimed
results to include a COP of 50. I think most if not all, who expected any results at all, imagined it might average out at at
least 3 but optimistically up to 6. The announcement that it reached 50 for such a long period of the test was stunning to say
the least. A COP of 50 is not a simple advance, it would be spectacular and if accepted today, an energy game-changer and a
perfect example of a ‘disruptive’ technology. One that has the potential in a very short period to shift the way energy is
created and used. Changes that would alter the fate of many countries, especially those who have built their economies on selling
oil that is on average dearer that cheap Arab oil but still profitable for them. Some countries (esp in Sth America & Africa &
some parts of the Middle East, plus those European countries who rely on their more expensive off-shore oil. Some could face
political collapse if their oil loses its strategic role and value. Oil is an intrinsic part of most nations foreign policies.
Saudi Arabia is a special case and is of concern for a number of special reasons. It is a fragile country in this regard. Fragile
in the sense that a shift away from oil as a primary could see the Saud family dynasty overthrown and Sunni Wahhabi extremists
take over. This is what they are already attempting to do in Syria and Iraq. It is interesting that just in this past month the
US Govt has directly intervened in the affairs of Saudi Arabia who have now committed to: one, divesting themselves of 100% control
of their nation's oil reserves (still the largest in the world); and two, to open the country up. The current closed to outsiders
approach has to end. Dropping their isolation is the best way to undermine the Wahhabi extremists who are taking full advantage
of the closed nature of Saudi Arabia society because of the isolation enforced in the past by the Saud family. Any deeper turmoil
in the Middle East could be a harbinger of world war 3. The tensions are ripe. One fuse could well be a disruptive technology
emerging that kicks the feet from under oil as a primary strategic commodity ruled *and managed* by nations’ and intrinsic in
their foreign policies. Anyone in any doubt only needs to read Daniel Yergin’s Pulitzer prize winning book “The Prize”. The story
is an amazing one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
If, as I personally suspect, the attacks on LENR and even Rossi, are all about delay, the need being to get the world in order
first. If this were to be the case, then the current contradictions, the claims and counter-claims, seem to fall into place.
The bigger picture has national interests and conflict avoidance at heart. The small picture is to get LENR on the table as a
working ‘new energy’ we can all make use of. Climate issues are a seperate matter also needing consideration.
I expect the current debate to continue at a shrill level. What I watch out for are the people who have a clear history of
whipping up anti LENR and anti Rossi hysteria. That choice of word is IMHO a perfect fit for much of what is being said about
Andrea Rossi. The way he is spoken about by supposedly well educated intelligent people is simply irrational unless the nature
of the personal attacks is to serve a purpose or is part of a hidden agenda. The evidence seems to be to delay LENR emergence
at all costs and Rossi the man is one cost. Also, consider how many of the better known anti-Rossi attackers, are so certain
they know 100% what they claim is true, that this somehow allows them to be so virulent in their claims, when, none of them
thus far have been directly involved.
Does anyone remember the hysteria that occurred in the USA in web forums over the US decision to invade Iraq. I remember it
only too well and how nasty and shrill the pro-invasion ‘voices’ got. Those of us outside the US had a very different view
of if Saddam Hussien had the weapons of mass destruction that the administration claimed and used as the justification for
the invasion. Then years later we learned (via leaked documents) that some US Govt agencies and military interests set up
teams to go into forums and chat sites to force their views anywhere that serious questions were being raised against the
invasion. I had not experienced anything that nasty before until now, but acknowledge the 'Pons & Flichman episode also got
very nasty. So today the virulence is about anti LENR remarks and in particular some rather vicious personal attacks on Rossi
and now even other open minded blog journalits like Peter Gluck, Jed Rothwell and Matts Lewan. These are people who seek to
keep an open debate and avoid extreme positions that are showin g up in the anti side of the debate.
No one should argue that nations are not aware of the limited life span remaining for oil as a primary source of energy.
Governments worldwide have met and chosen to work together to devise alternative non-polluting sources for a replacement
primary energy. The belief is the world has 30-40 years of known oil reserves and new ones are still being located.
The Tokamak as our saviour. Tokamaks (from Wikipedia) "is a device that uses a powerful magnetic field to confine plasma
in the shape of a torus. Achieving a stable plasma equilibrium requires magnetic field lines that move around the torus
in a helical shape."
There are several Tokamak projects underway in several countries. Notably ‘ITER’ in France a combined effort between China,
Europe, India, Japan, Korea, Russia and the USA. Then there is an even longer term follow-on ‘DEMO’, plus China also has its
seperate ‘CFETR’ project. But the Tokamaks seem to be still decades away even *if* they can be made both effective *and*
efficient. The point that needs to be made here is that Tokamaks are massively expensive and massively complex and as of
today massively under-performing. The goal is for 500MW out for about 50MW needed to drive one. A rough COP of 10. Perhaps
in 20 years if we are lucky.
Wind power is a help but is not a large scale solution, it is expensive to set up, expensive to run and maintain and
requires constant subsidization. Denmark is a world leader in manufacturing windmills and as well as exporting them
uses them to supply a significat percentage of their national needs. But, they are highly subsidised. Denmark also has
a particularly large area of shallow ocean surronding its landmass and a good average of wind to run the windmills.
Solar panels are also not yet a satisfactory solution and have similar cost to manufacture, logistics and maintenance
problems as wind power devices.
LENR as a solution is in a class of its own once it is finally accepted, the devices refined and the biased bickering
about the lack of a theory is put into perspective.
If however Rossi has his ‘miracle’ eCat, or there is perhaps some other known LENR such as Brillouin's boiler, or even some
under the radar LENR project, that have working potentially disruptive new energy technology. Then there are the other
claims such as that of Randall Mills and his brilliant light technology,
then disruption may well be nigh.
A 'potential disruption’ line of logic can not be easily dismissed or sneezed at. The energy claims *are* out there, the
consequences of any of these claims being real and perhaps ready to be developed are monumental. Those who choose to rail
against LENR based on their conviction that the science hasn’t come up with the theory, need to read about the history of
science and the blatant opposition to new theories that has dogged science since it began. So many discredited ‘theories’
later allowed science to leap ahead in the way it has. LENR *has* already been proven to be real. The propagandists refuse
to admit it. So, those who argue otherwise have a problem or an agenda. The LENR issue is “is it ready for prime time”.
Back to the Middle East, we have seen the consequences of national aspirations of Middle East people rising to the surface.
The map of the Middle East is crumbling and the artificial boundaries set as a consequence of the WW1 and WW2 western carve
ups (read Daniel Yergin’s book about this) are no longer useful nor defensible. The same might be said of African nations
too. Many of these were western political carve ups that cut across traditional tribal boundaries and loyalties.
One recent regional upheaval has been the Iranian revolution. The Shites of Iran saw a potential to create a grand Shite
Caliphate encompassing Iran (dominantly Shite), Iraq (dominantly Shite), Syria (where Shites are a minority but rule the
country as the Alahwite sect of Shia, Lebanon (where Shite Hizbollah militias have effective control) and Gaza another
Hizbollah stronghold. Had Iran obtained a nuclear weapon capability, that along with Irainian expansion (as was happening
post the Iran-Iraq war) then the potential for a Middle East conflagration was well brewed.
However, the western powers have managed to contain Iran, and despite the misgivings of some western allies (read Israel)
the US has recently pushed to end Iran’s isolation and has promoted the acceptance of its status as a potential regional
superpower. A reality that horrifies the Sunnis led by the Saudi Arabia.
In retaliation for Iran’s ambitions, groups of Iraqi Sunnis combined with Syrians, began fighting for their own Sunni
Caliphate. It would take part of Iraq, part of Syria, all Jordan and if they could, all Saudi Arabia. ISIS/ISIL are the core
of that movement. It is a continuation of the dreams promoted by the Saudi Osama Bin Laden and an extension of the Wahhabi
movement that is so strong in religiously controlled Saudi Arabia. These Sunni extremists have shown they are a force to be
reckoned with. IN Syria and Iraq, they are using captured oil to fund much of their revolution.
The fear from the anti-Iranian powers is that with the US-Iran peace, based on a commitment of Iran not to develop a bomb,
now signed, that the Iranians are free to expand trade and export oil without constraint which could allow them to become
so wealthy that no one could stop them doing whatever they want including secret work to proceed on their nuclear weapons
program. The balance between moderates and hard liners in Iran is on a knife’s edge.
So a what-if scenario is that ‘what-if’ the western powers (America in particular) know that there is a replacement for oil,
ready and capable. Then establishing peace with Iran means that Iran will have very limited time to take advantage of its
oil. The prices could (and would) drop to a small profit more in norm with any other useful (but not political) commodity.
Iran’s ambitions would and could be held in check, i.e. Iran could not use its oil muscle to threaten neighbors or anyone
else. It seems to me this is a valid scenario that has been stitched up and being enacted now.
Getting Saudi Arabia under control seems to be the current item on the agenda and the goal seems to be to starve the Wahhabi
extremists of an opportunity to overthrow the Saudi government and then have in their hands the power that oil would give
them. The Saud family are on thin ice. They are an anachronism in this modern age. They have been getting away with it
because they controll the world’s greatest oil reserves and also one of the cheapest in cost per barrel to lift.
I don’t know what today’s real cost per barrel to lift are (it is all online though) but there is a big difference. The
cheapest was always the Iraq oil, Saudi oil came close, but then the cost starts to rise markedly. Off-shore oil is much
dearer per barrel to lift, Alaskan oil even more so. Many of the smaller oil nations such as Venezuela and Nigeria have of
late only kept their production costs around sale price. Any significant drop in price would hit them hard.
So again, the case exists that a sudden introduction of a disruptive new cheap energy could topple many producing nations.
The political instability would affect us all. At worst trigger a new world war.
So, if LENR has been proven, then the governments of the world have some very serious challenges they must deal with before
any shift in the balance of energy power shakes up the world.
What is the use of owning a cheap eCat if we are all off fighting world war 3.
Physics is on the verge of an Earth-shattering discovery