Monday, January 11, 2016

JAN 11, 2016 AN ESSENTIAL CONCEPT FOR LENR: "ISLANDS OF RATIONALITY"

MOTTO

Being against something is statistically exactly π times more relevant than being for something. ( Yves-Henry Prum) (I wanted to compose a perfectly irrationally quote
with some trace of a sense)

“The problem with today’s world is that everyone believes they have the right to express their opinion AND have others listen to it. 
The correct statement of individual rights is that everyone has the right to an opinion, but crucially, that opinion can be roundly ignored and even made fun of, particularly if it is demonstrably nonsense!” (Brian Cox)


DAILY NOTES

a)  About the Islands of rationality (VUCA -out!) in LENR 

The irrational number says it straight:
Image result for irrational numbers

Reality includes the irrational! This idea is in full harmony with the central idea, start point and leit-motif of my philosophy -the maximum interestingness of the existence.
Irrationality is more interesting than rationality. However, it is a disaster for problem solving.
I want to emphasize that actually this discussion started now about irrationality is not new- on EGO OUT too. What more classical philosophy calls irrational, for the realist-pragmatical philosophy  based on management science. Just there irrationality seasoned with a bit of chaos- is called  acronymically VUCA- vulnerability+uncertainty+complexity+ambiguity, see e.g:

http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2014/07/the-vuca-world-of-lenr-how-long-it-will.html

I have shown and hopefully still will that LENR and LENR+ had an irrational history,an irrational status, is damaged by irrational approaches... In managerese, it has to be de-VUCA-ized as much this is possible. 
Classic thinking, philosophy offers a slogan - or even a root for a general solution of this problem and I will present it  shortly:
creating islands of rationality
http://aqpc.qc.ca/en/journal/article/interdisciplinary-islands-rationality-approach-science-and-civic-education

or a more managerial applicative paper

RATIONALITY AND THE MANAGEMENT OF UNCERTAINTY IN NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 

http://www.strategie-aims.com/events/conferences/17-vieme-conference-de-l-aims/communications/1094-rationality-and-the-management-of-uncertainty-in-new-product-development/download

by RAYMOND-ALAIN THIETART* and JEAN-MARC XUEREB** Management Department ESSEC Avenue Bernard HIRSCH BP 105 95021, Cergy-Pontoise Cedex, France 
Tel : (33) (1) 34 43 30 72 Fax : (33) (1) 34 43 30 01 * Raymond-Alain Thiétart is Professor of Strategy at the University Paris-Dauphine and ESSEC **Jean-Marc Xuereb is an Associate Professor of Strategy at ESSEC 
Abstract 
Innovation projects always introduce concomitant elements of uncertainty and complexity; concerning the product to be developed and any technological requirements, the prevailing market and competition, and the structure of the organization involved. We propose that organizations work to confine systems which are already complex and uncertain by relying on various means to create “islands of rationality”, so as to furnish project managers with the capacity to make decisions and act. The aim of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of the different means used by organizations to reduce the perception of uncertainty and complexity which confronts innovation project managers. 

I well know the Island of rationality in LENR- first of all in the imagine of Rossi's LENR+ technology will not be perfect, there will be lakes or swamps of irrationality
combined with the unknowns on them- but the task is clear, isn't it?

b) The arguments of the Rossi-deniers

 We will investigate actually the veracity and rationality of the usual deniers of Rossi's technology. We will not mix or confuse the points of view- the generator is relevant. There are more messages one per day - in the chronological order will suffice.
Today, the arguments of Darcy:

The public observers have been hopefully awaiting the conclusion of his year long testing. There is a great hope for success as this would be a tide that lifts all boats.

I would like to establish a clear description showing how his claims are impossible according to his own reporting. They are inconsistent from a time perspective that cannot be possible.

1. He has consistently claimed COPs of 6 for the past 11 months.

2. Simultaneously he says: " Perhaps it does not work; we will see at the end of the testing period.

3. 1. and 2. are mutually exclusive from a time standpoint. Claim 1 eliminates the possibility of statement 2. If it has been working at that COP, then it cannot be labeled as a failure. Rossi makes the second statement in hope of evading prosecution in 2016.

4. Rossi's control of the Lugano test conducted by Levi is too poorly done to avoid the likelyhood of collusion. Levi and his noble band acted like a group of unexperienced technologists. Tome Clarke has shown the shortcomings and detailed how no excess heat was actually measured.

5. Industrial Heat got involved on the basis of the first testing in 2013. That was weaker than Lugano, but it provided a platform for suggesting improvements by LENR practitioners.

A. eliminate Optical Pyrometry. It is too ambiguous.
B. Employ thermocouples as a correlation. This did not happen at Rossi's direction.
C. Rosssi handled the loading and unloading of the powders. This is unacceptable for a person with 3 international convictions for fraud!

I believe that Industrial Heat has been unable to cajole and or direct Rossi due to a weak agreement. Rossi's agreement with Ampenergo is so weak that it has only a slim hope of fruititon.

ANSWER & QUESTIONS

The public observers have been hopefully awaiting the conclusion of his year long testing. There is a great hope for success as this would be a tide that lifts all boatsROSSI's 

Rossi's reputation management is quite successful and he has serious supporters
many of his enemies are silent. Why?

I would like to establish a clear description showing how his claims are impossible according to his own reporting. They are inconsistent from a time perspective that cannot be possible.

This is the essence of your argument- he claims impossible things because he claims mutually contradictory things. This is pretty irrational- Rossi actually does not say really relevant things about the 1MW plant and almost nothing about the performances-as COP. His focus is protecting his IP. OK, he exaggerates but it is his right> If he is a fraud then the COP of this plant is indistinguishable from 1.00 

1. He has consistently claimed COPs of 6 for the past 11 months.

2. Simultaneously he says: " Perhaps it does not work; we will see at the end of the testing period.

3. 1. and 2. are mutually exclusive from a time standpoint. Claim 1 eliminates the possibility of statement 2. If it has been working at that COP, then it cannot be labeled as a failure. Rossi makes the second statement in hope of evading prosecution in 2016.

He has not claimed any COP, this is a reason to make me angry, I have no idea why you say this, he has claimed long periods of self-sustaining regime- that is very high COP- but there are no data except some gossip.
Test positive means technology ready for commercialization. Test negative there are still open technical question to be solved- chances are that it will be negative- in this sense irrespective from the mean value and spectrum of COP values. In his place, would you speak clearly now to the kibitzes?

4. Rossi's control of the Lugano test conducted by Levi is too poorly done to avoid the likelyhood of collusion. Levi and his noble band acted like a group of unexperienced technologists. Tome Clarke has shown the shortcomings and detailed how no excess heat was actually measured.

The Lugano Test is indeed a kind of mystery , an island of irrationality however it is connected to the secrets of the technology so it will remain so. Accusing the Testers of complicity to fraud is too much....the future - analytical tests especially will show.

A. eliminate Optical Pyrometry. It is too ambiguous.
B. Employ thermocouples as a correlation. This did not happen at Rossi's direction.
C. Rosssi handled the loading and unloading of the powders. This is unacceptable for a person with 3 international convictions for fraud!

These are also about the Lugano test. Can you give details re the 3 International convictions (where, reason, duration, prison etc. of Rossi? Was the E-Cat convicted too? If he manipulated the powders, why do such a long test?

Industrial Heat: 

5. Industrial Heat got involved on the basis of the first testing in 2013. That was weaker than Lugano, but it provided a platform for suggesting improvements by LENR practitioners.

I believe that Industrial Heat has been unable to cajole and or direct Rossi due to a weak agreement. Rossi's agreement with Ampenergo is so weak that it has only a slim hope of fruititon.

Dear Darcy, do you seem to have a very bad opinion about Darden and his colleagues , very gullible easy prey to Rossi who has sold them a dead cat, a non-functional generator, a non-existent technology.
QUESTION - to end: what value of global COP will you bet on, for the 1MW test
average COP and minimum/maximum. According to your arguments all are = 1.00, isn't it?
Peter

DAILY NEWS

1) Rossi gives some Leonardo Corporation updates
http://www.e-catworld.com/2016/01/10/rossi-gives-some-leonardo-corporation-updates/

2) Great LENR News from Mats Lewan:
Announcing the New Energy World Symposium
Today I’m announcing the New Energy World Symposium that will prepare you for the disruptive change that an upcoming carbon-free, abundant, cheap and on-demand energy source—cold fusion or LENR—may bring to the worlds of industry, finance and society.

The first session is planned to be held on June 21, 2016, in Stockholm Sweden, and pre-registration is open now.

Here’s a blog post announcing the Symposium: 

More info can be found at the symposium’s website new-symposium.org.

Best Regards,
Mats
Discussed at: 

4) Jim Sweeney's fine blog predicts good things:
2016 -Year of Brillouin, E-cat X and SunCell

http://londont.blogspot.ro/2016/01/2016-year-of-brillouin-e-cat-x-and.html


5) G.T.Zatsepin Seminar «Neutrino and Nuclear Astrophysics»
will be held on Friday, January 15, 2016,at 11:00
in Kolonnyi Hall of Lebedev Physical Institute (FIAN

Бажутов Юрий Николаевич (ИЗМИРАН)
Yu.N.Bazhutov (IZMIRAN) 
«Abnormal diurnal distributions of events recorded with "Doch-4A» telescope during searching for cosmic-ray erzions» 
«Аномальные суточные распределения событий, полученные на телескопе "Дочь-4A" при поиске эрзионов в космических лучах»
6) Blog name: Potemich. Nuclear Cold Fusion: scam or reality?
Блог им. Potemich | ХЯС афера или реальность??
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/301847.php


7) My readers have not missed them, but here there are:
A Couple of Fusion Milestones you probably missed:
http://coldfusion3.com/blog/a-couple-of-fusion-milestones-you-probably-missed

8) Some new features of Randell Mills's company, let's watch the coming demo
at Jan 28!
brilliantlightpower.com/suncell/
brilliantlightpower.com/plasma-video/

9) Wise comment of the day:
Arthur Robey                                       http://www.peakprosperity.com/podcast/96095/arthur-berman-why-price-oil-must-rise
EDIT : The USA can be relied upon to do the right thing. After they have tried everything else. Or words to that effect. W. Churchill. 
The right thing is a massive investment in LENR research. 

LENR IN CONTEXT-1

The infinite potential of nanotechnologies:
Researchers' metallic glue may stick it to soldering and welding
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/01/160108205752.htm
LENR IN CONTEXT-2

Obviously it is an almost fatal error to NOT use Competive Intelligence in LENR
development!
Competitive Intelligence - A Selective Resource Guide
I ma referring here more to the Rest than to Rossi!

ONLY FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO LIKE PHILOSOPHY
Bulletin d’analyse phénoménologique V 2, 2009 ISSN 1782-2041 http://popups.ulg.ac.be/bap.htm 
The Riddle of Reason: In Search of Husserl’s Concept of Rationality 
By WITOLD PLOTKA University of Gdansk, Poland 
http://popups.ulg.ac.be/1782-2041/index.php?id=305&file=1&pid=303

NOTHING TO DO WITH LENR BUT AS SAD AS IMPORTANT:
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/europe-disintegration-geopolitical-danger-by-nouriel-roubini-2016-01?utm_source=Project+Syndicate+Newsletter&utm_campaign=02bb7aa2c9-Roubini_2016_The_Europe_Question_in_2016_1_10_2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_73bad5b7d8-02bb7aa2c9-93491817

Role playing- an entire continent acting as Herr Biedermann (absurd play by Max Frisch)- massively importing arsonists and rapist in the name of the Good

6 comments:

  1. The problem with making fun of something as "demonstrable nonsense" is that what is nonsense from one person's view is often truth to another.
    From my view. as I see the facts, a number of widely accepted scientific "truths" are nonsense, however to "true-believers" in those "facts. as seen by them, my ideas are tpta; nonsense....

    ReplyDelete
  2. The problem with making fun of something as "demonstrable nonsense" is that what is nonsense from one person's view is often truth to another.
    From my view. as I see the facts, a number of widely accepted scientific "truths" are nonsense, however to "true-believers" in those "facts. as seen by them, my ideas are tpta; nonsense....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Completely failed to decipher your message, sorry.

      Delete
  3. I find the term "Rossi denier" confusing. I think I am one by Peter's definition, but I just wonder why the burden of proof is suddenly on me.

    Should be on Rossi, methinks.

    He already proven? Nope, I don't think so.

    But maybe the debate is over with megawatto e-catto test soon complete and we can all turn to the dark side.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Rossi may be running out of time. Dr. Randell Mills has filed his latest patent in Jan 2016 for a thermovoltaic direct conversion to electricity reactor based on hydrinos and has also released new video of his process that collapses hydrogen to give off massive amounts of energy.

    http://brilliantlightpower.com/plasma-video/

    He is allegedly having a public demo on 28 Jan.

    http://brilliantlightpower.com/invitational-public-demonstration/


    Unless Rossi (or any other LENR group) can produce equivalent theory and convincing evidence of low energy fusion/transmutation then Mills may emerge as the only winner, with a safe, cheap, non-polluting and non-nuclear energy source that only needs a source of water to supply the hydrogen needed for the hydrino reaction.

    Mills company, Brilliant Light Power suggests that the hydrogen contained in 1 liter of water could produce enough electricity to drive a car 1000 miles. 17 liters of water a year could supply all the electricity needs of the average house.

    The product hydrinos are suggested to be the identity of dark matter, are unreactive once formed and lighter than air, so would escape to space leaving no pollutants and especially no carbon. The amount of water on the Earth means that the Sun would consume the Earth before we run out of water (billions of years).

    It is a good, no a great time to be alive! Will keep you posted on developments.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Here's the basic analysis of Mills' Suncell which now appears to be a thermovoltaic direct conversion to electricity system:

    A no moving parts electromagentic pump injects a proprietary mix of molten copper and silver up between two electrodes at the same time as water and/or hydrogen gas are introduced into a sealed firebox. A low voltage, high amp electric arc current passes through the conducting metals and causes the catalytic degradation of the injected water to form Mills' hydrinos (or collapsed hydrogen), a large energy release far greater than the input energy and an intense plasma.

    A tungsten metal plate (ie "window") on the firebox is heated by the plasma and becomes a blackbody emitter of radiation at 3500K with the result that the energy is converted to a dominant wavelength based on the temperature.

    Concentrator solar cells that are tuned to specifically absorb the emitted wavelengths face the tungsten plate. As a result cheaper, single junction concentrator PV cells can be utilised.

    (A blackbody emitter at 3500K appears to have a radiation intensity of about 8.5MW/m^2.)

    The silver and copper is recycled back to the EM pump with only water/H2 being consumed in the process.

    Be interesting to see what is unveiled on Jan 28. A completed unit that produces electricity? Or a work in process?

    ReplyDelete